LTE Strategy 2013 - 2018

Date: May 1, 2013
Pages: 270
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Publisher: Mind Commerce Publishing LLC
Report type: Strategic Report
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LTE Strategy 2013 - 2018
Migrating cellular networks to fourth generation (4G) via the Long Term Evolution (LTE) standard and other supporting technologies is a monumental effort. Beyond the obvious radio planning and engineering is a huge effort in the areas of application planning, business operations planning, and technical planning. Developing effective strategies for success with LTE is key to the successful commercialization of 4G for all mobile network operators.

LTE will usher in a new world of opportunities and challenges for every industry constituent including everything from new business models and industry participants to operational support systems for improved quality of service and user experience.

This report provides LTE strategies and technology analysis and provides recommendations for mobile network deployment. It also includes market analysis of the LTE marketplace including mobile handsets, key service developments, device advancements and more. The report also includes forecasts in every major area associated with LTE including:
  • Landline/Fixed Losses forecast
  • Migration from Landline to VoIP forecast
  • Global Wireless Infrastructure Spending (by technology, region, type)
  • Global LTE Device forecast and Data Usage (by category, device type, and region)
  • Global LTE Subscriptions and Revenue (by consumer, enterprise, and industry segment)
The report is must-reading for anyone developing strategy associated with deployment and operations of LTE including:
  • Product and services plans
  • Application development and distribution
  • Handset evolution and capability development
  • Impact assessment of LTE evolution on long-term planning
  • Investment in next generation infrastructure, devices, and applications
  • Network integration including API strategy and application launch/operation
  • Enterprises of all types seeking to identify the impacts and opportunities of 4G
Key Findings:
  • While gaining greatly through 2018, enterprise LTE subscription remain less then consumer
  • Mobile network operators have an imperative to develop Value-added Services (VAS) for LTE
  • Carriers must develop key applications such as Corporate Dashboard to retain enterprise customers
  • Extreme growth in mobile data associated with LTE expansion will require next generation OSS solutions
  • Carriers must prepare for a variety of challenges including much more data usage, increasingly more services in the cloud, severely marginalized core services, and development of VAS across communications, content, and commerce
Report Benefits:
  • Global forecasts for LTE devices including data usage by category, device type, and region
  • Global forecasts for LTE subscription (overall, consumer, enterprise and by industry vertical)
  • LTE global and regional status update and analysis of key issues including capacity and spectrum
  • Identify the key trends and issues associated with implementing and operating broadband wireless
  • Understand the evolution of wireless to 4G and beyond including network topology and integration
  • Identify the business value and roadmap for implementation and operation of LTE based applications
  • Understand the future of LTE including applications, integration with the cloud, social networks, and more
  • Identify emerging LTE business models including third-party ecosystems, API integration, and expanded applications
  • Recommendations and analysis for carriers, content providers, application developers and infrastructure companies
  • Understand the issues and opportunities regarding key evolutionary trends including:
    • Anytime, anywhere, any device access to communications, content, commerce, and applications
    • Increased emphasis on non-human communications
    • The convergence and integration of many things
    • Open networks, open interfaces, and many applications
Target Audience:
  • Mobile content providers
  • Mobile network operators
  • Wireless device manufacturers
  • Wireless infrastructure providers
  • Application developers and aggregators
  • Government and sovereign R&D institutions
1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.0 INTRODUCTION

2.1 EVOLUTION OF THE WIRELESS MARKETPLACE
  2.1.1 KEY EVOLUTIONARY TRENDS
  2.1.2 KEY SUPPORTING TECHNOLOGIES
2.2 BROADBAND WIRELESS EVOLUTION
  2.2.1 FIRST GENERATION (1G)
  2.2.2 SECOND GENERATION (2G)
  2.2.3 THIRD GENERATION (3G)
  2.2.4 FOURTH GENERATION (4G)
  2.2.1 FIFTH GENERATION (5G)

3.0 LTE GLOBAL STATUS

3.1 GLOBAL MARKET SHARE BY TECHNOLOGY
3.2 GLOBAL LTE SUBSCRIBERS AND PENETRATION BY COUNTRY
3.3 GLOBAL DEPLOYMENT: LTE BY REGION, COUNTRY AND CARRIER
3.4 GLOBAL OVERALL (2G, 3G, AND 4G) MOBILE PENETRATION
3.5 GLOBAL LTE INDUSTRY VERTICALS
  3.5.1 OIL AND GAS
  3.5.2 CONSTRUCTION
  3.5.3 AGRICULTURE
  3.5.4 MINING
  3.5.5 UTILITIES
  3.5.6 TRANSPORTATION
  3.5.7 MILITARY/DEFENSE
  3.5.8 PUBLIC SAFETY
  3.5.9 EDUCATION AND DISTANCE LEARNING
3.6 GLOBAL LTE DEVICES
3.7 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA USAGE
3.8 GLOBAL MOBILE INTERNET AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL INTERNET
3.9 GLOBAL MOBILE BROADBAND SNAPSHOT: 1Q 2013
3.10 SPECTRUM CURRENTLY UTILIZED FOR LTE
  3.10.1 THE KEY SPECTRUM SUB-BAND: 1755-1780 MHZ
  3.10.2 NATIONAL BROADBAND PLAN
  3.10.3 LTE INDUSTRY SPECTRUM CHALLENGE: FRAGMENTATION
  3.10.4 LTE INDUSTRY SPECTRUM SOLUTION: ADAPTIVE AND COGNITIVE RADIO
3.11 PAST AND PROJECTED CELLULAR NETWORK INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING
  3.11.1 MACRO CELL INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING BY REGION
  3.11.2 CARRIER WIFI INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING

4.0 LTE REGIONAL STATUS

4.1 OVERALL REGIONAL ANALYSIS
  4.1.1 MOBILE USAGE DURING THE LAST TWENTY YEARS BY REPRESENTATIVE COUNTRY
  4.1.2 GLOBAL LTE SUBSCRIBERS BY REGION
  4.1.3 TOP DATA USAGE BY COUNTRY FOR 3G AND LTE
  4.1.4 COMS, COMMERCE, AND APP USAGE PATTERNS IN REPRESENTATIVE COUNTRIES
4.2 AMERICAS
  4.2.1 LTE IN USA
  4.2.2 LTE IN LATIN AMERICA
4.3 EUROPE
  4.3.1 FRANCE
  4.3.2 GERMANY
  4.3.3 ITALY
  4.3.4 SPAIN
  4.3.5 UNITED KINGDOM
4.4 MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA
  4.4.1 MIDDLE EAST
  4.4.2 AFRICA
4.5 ASIA PACIFIC
  4.5.1 AUSTRALIA
  4.5.1 CHINA
  4.5.2 INDIA
  4.5.1 JAPAN
  4.5.2 SOUTH KOREA

5.0 LTE PLANNING AND IMPLEMENTATION

5.1 CONSIDERATION OF KEY CHARACTERISTICS OF TECHNOLOGIES
5.2 STRATEGY FOR GROWTH OF LTE DEPENDENT ON CAPACITY NEEDS
  5.2.1 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA HISTORICAL GROWTH AND FORECASTS
  5.2.2 GLOBAL GROWTH FORECAST PER WIRELESS DEVICE TYPE
  5.2.3 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA FORECAST GROWTH PER REGION
5.3 MIGRATION FROM CURRENT NETWORKS TO LTE

6.0 LTE OSS IMPROVEMENTS

6.1 DRIVERS FOR OSS IMPROVEMENTS
6.2 SELF-OPTIMIZING NETWORKS (SON)
  6.2.1 WHY SON FOR LTE?
  6.2.2 SON CATEGORIES AND USE CASES
  6.2.3 SON IMPLEMENTATION

7.0 CARRIER CHALLENGES

7.1 SPECTRUM AVAILABILITY
7.2 CAPEX BUDGETS
7.3 IS MORE CAPACITY BETTER?
  7.3.1 ADVANTAGES
  7.3.2 DISADVANTAGES
7.4 THE FIGHT AGAINST OTT PLAYERS
  7.4.1 OTT VOICE
  7.4.2 OTT MESSAGING
  7.4.3 CARRIERS TO FIGHT BACK
7.5 THE DRIVERS FOR NEW APPLICATIONS

8.0 LTE APPLICATION STRATEGY

8.1 PREPARE FOR MUCH MORE DATA USAGE
  8.1.1 BIGGEST FACTOR IN MOBILE DATA: MOBILE VIDEO
  8.1.2 MOBILE VIDEO FORECAST
8.2 PREPARE FOR INCREASINGLY MORE SERVICES IN THE CLOUD
  8.2.1 THE ROLE OF INCUMBENT NETWORK OPERATORS IN MOBILE CLOUD
  8.2.2 MOBILE DATA IN THE CLOUD FORECAST
8.3 PREPARE FOR INCREASINGLY MARGINALIZED CORE SERVICES
  8.3.1 MARGINALIZATION DRIVES THE NEED FOR VALUE-ADDED SERVICES
  8.3.2 VALUED SERVICES INCLUDE COMMERCE, CONTENT AND APPS
8.4 PREPARE FOR DEPLOYMENT OF VALUE-ADDED SERVICES
  8.4.1 WHAT IS A VALUE-ADDED SERVICE (VAS)?
  8.4.2 RELATIONSHIP OF VAS TO OTHER SERVICES
  8.4.3 WHY ARE VAS IMPORTANT?
  8.4.4 THE VAS SUPPLY CHAIN
  8.4.5 CARRIER PLANNING FOR VAS APPLICATIONS

9.0 LTE APPLICATION ROADMAP

9.1 VIDEO
  9.1.1 MORE OF THE SAME: ONLY FASTER
  9.1.2 VIDEO CALL
  9.1.3 LTE VIDEO BROADCAST
  9.1.4 MOBILE TV IN LTE
9.2 VOICE OVER LTE (VOLTE)
  9.2.1 GSMA VOLTE INIATIVES
  9.2.2 ALTERNATIVES TO VOLTE
9.3 RICH COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES (RCS)
  9.3.1 GSMA RCS INITIATIVES
  9.3.2 RICH CALLS
  9.3.3 RICH MESSAGING
  9.3.4 RCS AND VIDEO
  9.3.5 DYNAMIC ADDRESS BOOK (DAB)
9.4 LTE DIRECT
  9.4.1 DIRECT SERVICES

10.0 LTE FORECASTS

10.1 GLOBAL LTE FORECASTS
  10.1.1 GLOBAL SUBSCRIPTIONS 2013 - 2018
  10.1.2 GLOBAL REVENUE 2013 - 2018
10.2 GLOBAL CONSUMER VS. ENTERPRISE FORECASTS
  10.2.1 GLOBAL CONSUMER VS. ENTERPRISE SUBSCRIPTIONS 2013 - 2018
  10.2.2 GLOBAL CONSUMER VS. ENTERPRISE REVENUE 2013 - 2018
10.3 LTE MARKET SEGMENTS
  10.3.1 LTE IN INDUSTRY VERTICALS
  10.3.2 GLOBAL LTE SUBSCRIPTIONS BY MAJOR INDUSTRY SEGMENT 2013 - 2018
10.4 GLOBAL LTE DEVICE FORECAST 2013 - 2018
10.5 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA TRAFFIC 2012-2017
  10.5.1 BY CATEGORY
  10.5.2 BY DEVICE TYPE
  10.5.3 BY REGION
10.6 PROJECTED MOBILE CONNECTION SPEEDS BY REGION 2012 - 2017

11.0 THE FUTURE OF LTE

11.1 DEVICES AND SUBSCRIBERS
  11.1.1 SUBSCRIBER BEHAVIORS EVOLVE
  11.1.2 CONSUMER ELECTRONICS AND LTE
  11.1.3 THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR SMARTPHONES AND TABLETS
  11.1.4 NEXT GENERATION DEVICES AND LTE
11.2 FUTURE NETWORK TOPOLOGY
  11.2.1 CONTINUED SMALL CELL EXPANSION
  11.2.2 HETEROGENEOUS NETWORKS (HETNETS)
  11.2.3 LTE TOPOLOGY ROADMAP
11.3 FUTURE APPLICATIONS
  11.3.1 LTE AND SOCIAL NETWORKS/MEDIA
  11.3.2 LTE AND MOBILE MARKETING/ADVERTISING
  11.3.3 LTE ENABLED MOBILE COMMERCE
  11.3.4 CLOUD STORAGE/ACCESS
  11.3.5 PEER-TO-PEER (P2P) COMMUNICATIONS
  11.3.6 AUGMENTED REALITY (AR)
  11.3.7 WEARABLE WIRELESS DRIVES NEW APPLICATIONS
  11.3.8 THE ENTERPRISE/CORPORATE DASHBOARD
  11.3.9 MACHINE-TO-MACHINE (M2M) AND THE INTERNET OF THINGS (IOT)
  11.3.10 CONVERGENCE OF M2M, IOT, SOCIAL, AND BIG DATA = HUGE OPPORTUNITY
11.4 NEW LTE BUSINESS MODELS
  11.4.1 MOBILE NETWORK API MODELS
  11.4.2 WORKING WITH THE CARRIERS
  11.4.3 DEALING WITH CARRIER CONCERNS IN NEW BUSINESS MODELS
  11.4.4 THE EMERGENCE OF A STRUCTURED THIRD-PARTY ECOSYSTEM

12.0 BEYOND 4G/LTE

12.1 THE VISION FOR 5G
  12.1.1 EVOLUTION FROM 4G TO 5G
12.2 FLAT AND DE-CENTRALIZED IP ARCHITECTURE
12.3 5G CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
12.4 CURRENT 5G DEVELOPMENTS
  12.4.1 UNITED KINGDOM: GOVERNMENT
  12.4.2 KOREA: SAMSUNG

13.0 SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS

13.1 CARRIERS
13.2 CONTENT PROVIDERS
13.3 APPLICATION DEVELOPERS
  13.3.1 CONSUMER MARKET
  13.3.2 ENTERPRISE MARKET
  13.3.3 INDEPENDENTS
13.4 INFRASTRUCTURE PROVIDERS
  13.4.1 ERICSSON
  13.4.2 HUAWEI
  13.4.3 NOKIA SIEMENS NETWORKS
  13.4.4 ALCATEL-LUCENT
  13.4.5 ZTE
13.5 WIRELESS DEVICE PROVIDERS
  13.5.1 OVERVIEW
  13.5.2 LTE HANDSET ISSUES

14.0 APPENDIX

  14.1.1 HISTORY OF NGN AND LTE
  14.1.2 LTE KEY TECHNOLOGIES
14.2 LTE TECHNOLOGY AND ARCHITECTURE
  14.2.1 LTE TECHNOLOGY
  14.2.2 LTE ADVANCED
  14.2.3 LTE INFRASTRUCTURE ELEMENTS AND ARCHITECTURE
14.3 LTE ARCHITECTURE DETAILS
  14.3.1 SERVICE ARCHITECTURE
  14.3.2 LAYER 2 OF LTE
  14.3.3 DOWNLINK LOGICAL
  14.3.4 UPLINK LOGICAL
  14.3.5 MOBILITY ACROSS ENBS
14.4 IP MULTIMEDIA SUBSYSTEM AND SERVICE DELIVER
  14.4.1 SDP ARCHITECTURE
  14.4.2 SDP AND OSS/BSS
  14.4.3 IP MULTIMEDIA SUBSYSTEM (IMS)
  14.4.4 TECHNOLOGIES SUPPORTING IMS
  14.4.5 IMS AND SIP
14.5 OTHER LTE NETWORK AND APPLICATION ENABLERS
  14.5.1 PRESENCE
  14.5.2 IDENTITY, PERSONAL DATA, AND PREFERENCE MANAGEMENT
  14.5.3 TELECOM API AND MANAGEMENT

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Evolution of Wireless
Figure 2: Landline/Fixed Losses Forecast
Figure 3: Migration from Landline to VoIP Forecast
Figure 4: Evolution of Broadband Wireless
Figure 5: 3G vs. 4G
Figure 6: 4G Evolution
Figure 7: LTE vs. LTE Advanced
Figure 8: Market Share by Wireless Technology
Figure 9: Global LTE Subscription/Penetration by Country
Figure 10: Global LTE Subscriptions
Figure 11: Overall Mobile Penetration by Region
Figure 12: Public Safety LTE Network
Figure 13: Global LTE Devices by Type
Figure 14: Global LTE Devices by FDD/TDD
Figure 15: Global Mobile Data Usage
Figure 16: Mobile Internet vs. Total Internet
Figure 17: Mobile Broadband Market by Technology
Figure 18: LTE Spectrum Usage
Figure 19: Global Infrastructure Spending: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 20: Global Spending on Infrastructure by Tech 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 21: Global Spending on Infrastructure by Tech Generation: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 22: Global RAN and Core Network Infrastructure Spending Compared: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 23: Wireless Network Infrastructure Spending by Region: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 24: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 25: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 26: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments by Technology: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 27: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue by Technology: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 28: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments by Technology Generation (2G, 3G, 4G): 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 29: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue by Technology Generation (2G, 3G, 4G): 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 30: Macro Cell Unit Shipments by Region: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 31: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue by Region: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 32: Infrastructure Spending in Asia Pacific: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 33: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in Asia Pacific: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 34: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in Asia Pacific: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 35: Infrastructure Spending in Eastern Europe: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 36: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in Europe: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 37: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in Europe: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 38: Infrastructure Spending in Latin & Central America: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 39: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in Latin & Central America: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 40: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in Latin & Central America: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 41: Infrastructure Spending in the Middle East & Africa: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 42: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in the Middle East & Africa: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 43: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in the Middle East & Africa: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 44: Wireless Network Infrastructure Spending in North America: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 45: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in North America: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 46: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in North America: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 47: Infrastructure Spending in Western Europe: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 48: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in Western Europe: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands)
Figure 49: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Rev Western Europe: 2010 - 2017 (USD Millions)
Figure 50: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments: 2010 - 2017 (Thousands of Units)
Figure 51: Mobile Usage in Last Two Decades
Figure 52: Global LTE Subscribers by Region
Figure 53: Data Traffic in Largest LTE Countries/Operators
Figure 54: Usage Patterns in Representative Countries
Figure 55: Mobile Data Traffic by Region
Figure 56: Wireless Spectrum Demand Projections
Figure 57: LTE in United States
Figure 58: LTE in Latin America
Figure 59: Top MNO's in Latin America
Figure 60: LTE Launches in Europe by Operator
Figure 61: Middle East LTE Carrier Services Revenue
Figure 62: Africa LTE Market
Figure 63: LTE Key Characteristics :
Figure 64: Anticipated Wireless Capacity Growth
Figure 65: Mobile Data Usage Growth Forecast
Figure 66: Global Growth Forecast for Devices and Data Usage
Figure 67: Data Usage by Device Type
Figure 68: Per-Device Usage Growth to 2017
Figure 69: Device Growth and Mobile Data Usage Growth to 2017
Figure 70: Global Mobile Data Forecast by Region to 2017
Figure 71: Migration from Existing Networks to 4G
Figure 72: Self Organizing Network Use Cases
Figure 73: Average Texting by User Segment
Figure 74: Video Usage by Screen Type
Figure 75: Mobile Video Forecast to 2017
Figure 76: Mobile Data in the Cloud Forecast to 2017
Figure 77: Mobile Commerce Continuum
Figure 78: Pull and Push Content Models
Figure 79: Value-added Services vs. Core Services
Figure 80: Worldwide Mobile Data Usage
Figure 81: Mobile TV Ecosystem
Figure 82: VoLTE Call Continuity
Figure 83: RCS, APIs, and Applications
Figure 84: Enhanced Address Book Benefits
Figure 85: RCS Application Integration
Figure 86: Global LTE Subscriptions: 2013 - 2018 (Millions)
Figure 87: Global LTE Service Revenues: 2013 - 2018 ($ Billion)
Figure 88: Consumer and Enterprise LTE Subs: 2013 - 2018 (Millions)
Figure 89: Consumer and Enterprise LTE Service Rev: 2013 - 2018 ($ Billion)
Figure 90: Networked Business Framework
Figure 91: Disruptive Potential of Connectivity
Figure 92: LTE Value Chain: Traditional Enterprise and Vertical Segments
Figure 93: Global LTE Subscriptions by Industry: 2013 - 2018 (Thousands)
Figure 94: Global LTE Devices in 2013
Figure 95: Global LTE Device Forecast to 2018
Figure 96: Industry LTE Device Trends to 2030
Figure 97: Global Mobile Data by Category Forecast to 2017
Figure 98: Global Mobile Data by Device Forecast to 2017
Figure 99: Global Mobile Data by Region Forecast to 2017
Figure 100: Connection Speeds by Region Forecast to 2017
Figure 101: LTE Market Drivers by Operational Improvement
Figure 102: Global Smartphone and Tablet Ownership by Country
Figure 103: Global Smartphone Market by Region
Figure 104: Global Tablet Market by Region
Figure 105: HetNets Topology
Figure 106: Carrier WiFi and Small Cells
Figure 107: Mobile Marketing Investment Growth by Type Forecast to 2015
Figure 108: Mobile Marketing Expenditures by Type Forecast to 2015
Figure 109: Augmented Reality
Figure 110: Enterprise Corporate Dashboard
Figure 111: Enterprise Corporate Dashboard: Employee Locator Application
Figure 112: Global M2M Growth by 2G/3G/4G Forecast to 2017
Figure 113: Global M2M Data Growth Forecast to 2017
Figure 114: Evolution of Carrier Business Models and Third Parties
Figure 115: Wireless Network Infrastructure RAN Vendor Ranking Matrix 2012
Figure 116: Core Network Vendor Ranking Matrix 2012
Figure 117: 4G Handset Technical Issues
Figure 118: LTE E-UTRAN Infrastructure Network Elements
Figure 119: LTE EPC Infrastructure Network Elements
Figure 120: Understanding LTE Network Elements and Channels
Figure 121: IMS Planes
Figure 122: IMS Model
Figure 123: SIP Configuration and Protocols
Figure 124: Presence in Telecom Networks
Figure 125: NGN Presence Architecture
Figure 126: Dynamic Address Book (DAM)
Figure 127: Wireless Carrier Assets
Figure 128: SDM Industry Roadmap: 2012 - 2017
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