Lithuania - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Date: June 3, 2013
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US$ 595.00
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Publisher: BuddeComm
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Hard Copy Mail Delivery
ID: L83DB85250CEN
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Lithuania - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts
Lithuanian fibre reaches two-thirds of the populationBuddeComm’s annual publication, Lithuania - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media Sector s of one of Eastern Europe’s more advanced telecom markets. The report includes the regulator’s market data for 2012, telcos’ financial and operating data to Q1 2013 and market developments to May 2013.

Telecom market overview

The telecoms market has seen falling revenue in recent years as the economy continues to recover from the mauling experienced in 2008/9. Lower revenue from Fixed and Mobile telephony is partly offset by increases from the cable TV Sector . Nevertheless, investment in fibre and Mobile infrastructure has placed the country as one of the regional leaders for fibre infrastructure, with the regulator promoting access to networks in a bid to encourage competition and prevent any one operator developing a monopoly for fibre infrastructure. The incumbent TEO remains the dominant player in DSL access, and has made great strides to gain market share from altnets in fibre networks.

Mobile market

Lithuania’s Mobile Sector forms by far the largest part of the telecom market by revenue. Served by three MNOs, two of which have significant interests across the Baltics and Scandinavia, the market also has a few MVNOs and resellers, though their collective market share has fallen steadily during the last three years. Strong competition has driven growth, particularly in Mobile data services . With one of the highest Mobile penetration rate s in Europe, operators have focussed on HSPA and LTE networks to deliver services to customers and so increase revenue and APU. The regulator has consulted on its programme to use additional frequencies for Mobile voice and data services , which would help extend the reach of Broadband to rural areas.

Key telecom parameters – 2010; 2013
Sector | 2010 | 2013 (e) |
subscribers by Sector (million ): |
Fixed Broadband subscribers | 0.68 | 0.79 |
Mobile Broadband | 0.19 | 0.32 |
Mobile phone | 4.89 | 5.0 |
Fixed - line telephony | 0.75 | 0.65 |
penetration by Sector: |
Fixed Broadband | 21% | 26% |
Mobile | 151% | 170% |
Fixed - line | 23% | 20% | (Source: BuddeComm)

Market Highlights

In the fourth quarter of 2012 investment in network infrastructure fell 4.2% quarter-on-quarter and fell 26.2% year-on-year. Most investment has gone to fiber Broadband and 4G networks.

Number portings now account for more than 12% of all Fixed - line s in service.

The share of Fixed - voice line s held by altnets is approaching 11%, compared to less than 2% a decade ago.

TEO was late to invest in fibre, and given that the cost of access to its own infrastructure through LLU was relatively high cablecos were encouraged to invest in their own shared networks. As a result, altnets accounted for 99.5% of all fibre connections in 2005, though this has been reduced to 61%.All three MNOs have been awarded spectrum in the 2500MHz-2560MHz and 2620MHz-2680MHz bands, with coverage requirements including having to reach 50% network coverage to five cities by 2015 and 50% to 15 cities by 2017. This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom Sector in Lithuania. It provides further information on:
  • Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
  • The impact of the global economic crisis;
  • Telecoms operators – privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
  • Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards;
  • 3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;
  • Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
  • Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
  • ARPU statistics and forecasts.
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.
1. KEY STATISTICS

2. TELECOMMUNICATIONS MARKET

2.1 Overview of Lithuania’s telecom market

3. REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT

3.1 Background
  3.1.1 EU regulatory framework
  3.1.2 Revised NFR
3.2 Regulatory authority
  3.2.1 Communications Regulatory Authority (RRT)
3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Lithuania
  3.3.1 Privatisation
  3.3.2 Interconnect
  3.3.3 Access
  3.3.4 Carrier selection and Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
  3.3.5 Number portability (NP)

4. FIXED NETWORK MARKET

4.1 Market overview
4.2 Lietuvos Telekomas (TEO)

5. TELECOMMUNICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE

5.1 National telecom network
  5.1.1 TEO
  5.1.2 Alternative operators
5.2 International infrastructure
5.3 Wholesaling

6. BROADBAND MARKET

6.1 Overview
  6.1.1 Fixed broadband statistics
6.2 Cable modems
6.3 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
6.4 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
  6.4.1 Infrastructure sharing
6.5 Wireless broadband
  6.5.1 Market overview
  6.5.2 WiFi
  6.5.3 WiMAX
  6.5.4 Mobile broadband

7. DIGITAL MEDIA AND DIGITAL ECONOMY

7.1 Digital media
  7.1.1 Bundled services
  7.1.2 Overview of media convergence
  7.1.3 Overview of broadcasting market
  7.1.4 Digital TV
7.2 Digital Economy
  7.2.1 Lithuania’s emerging internet society
  7.2.2 E-government
  7.2.3 E-health

8. MOBILE COMMUNICATIONS

8.1 Overview of Lithuania’s mobile market
  8.1.1 Mobile statistics
8.2 Regulatory issues
  8.2.1 GSM licences
  8.2.2 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
  8.2.3 Third GSM licence awarded
  8.2.4 2.6GHz spectrum
  8.2.5 790-860MHz spectrum
  8.2.6 Significant Market Power (SMP)
  8.2.7 Mobile Termination Rates (MTR)
8.3 Mobile technologies
  8.3.1 Third Generation (3G)
8.4 Major mobile operators
  8.4.1 Overview of operators
  8.4.2 Omnitel
  8.4.3 Bite
  8.4.4 Tele2
8.5 Mobile voice services
  8.5.1 Prepaid cards
8.6 Mobile messaging
  8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
  8.6.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
8.7 Mobile data services
  8.7.1 Overview
  8.7.2 General Packet Radio Services (GPRS)
  8.7.3 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
  8.7.4 High-speed Packet Access (HSPA)
  8.7.5 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
8.8 Mobile content and applications
  8.8.1 Portals
  8.8.2 Machine-t0-Machine (M2M)
  8.8.3 Mobile TV

9. FORECASTS

9.1 Broadband subscribers – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
  9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth
  9.1.3 Notes on scenario forecasts

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1 – Country statistics Lithuania – 2012 (e)
Table 2 – Telecom revenue and investment statistics – 2012
Table 3 – Telephone network statistics – 2012
Table 4 – Internet user statistics – 2012
Table 5 – Fixed broadband statistics – 2012
Table 6 – Mobile statistics – 2012
Table 7 – National telecommunications authority
Table 8 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2006 - 2012
Table 9 – Telecom investment annual growth – 2006 - 2012
Table 10 – Telecom revenue market share by operator – 2010 - 2012
Table 11 – Telecom revenue market share by sector – 2011 - 2012
Table 12 – Call termination charges – 2010 - 2012
Table 13 – CS and CPS lines – 2008 - 2012
Table 14 – Accumulative fixed number portings – 2004 - 2011
Table 15 – Market share of fixed-lines and revenue, alternative operators – 2003 - 2012
Table 16 – Fixed-lines by operator – 2006 - 2012
Table 17 – Fixed-telephony retail and wholesale revenue – 2010 - 2011
Table 18 – TEO group financial data – 2006 - 2013
Table 19 – TEO group financial data – 2006 - 2013
Table 20 – TEO Group revenue by sector – 2009 - 2013
Table 21 – Historical - Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1995 - 2004
Table 22 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2005 - 2013
Table 23 – TEO – fixed-line subscribers – 2005 - 2013
Table 24 – Total international internet bandwidth – 2000 - 2012
Table 25 – Dark fibre lines – 2008 - 2012
Table 26 – Internet users and penetration rates – 1999 - 2013
Table 27 – Proportion of fixed-line broadband connections by access type – 2009 - 2012
Table 28 – ISP market share by subscribers – 2009 - 2012
Table 29 – Internet services market revenue – 2006 - 2014
Table 30 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2006 - 2012
Table 31 – Internet access market share by access type – 2006 - 2012
Table 32 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2001 - 2014
Table 33 – Total internet subscribers – 2006 - 2014
Table 34 – Internet ARPU – 2006 - 2012
Table 35 – Broadband data rates as proportion of subscribers – 2009 - 2012
Table 36 – Cable broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2014
Table 37 – TEO fixed broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2013
Table 38 – ADSL subscribers – 2006 - 2014
Table 39 – Fibre connections by operator – 2006 - 2011
Table 40 – FttH/FttB subscribers – 2008 - 2013
Table 41 – TEO FttX subscribers – 2006 - 2013
Table 42 – TEO WiFi subscribers – 2007 - 2013
Table 43 – WiFi subscribers – 2011 - 2012
Table 44 – WiMAX subscribers – 2011 - 2012
Table 45 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2012
Table 46 – Subscribers to bundled services, by offer – 2008 - 2012
Table 47 – Subscribers to bundled services – 2010 - 2012
Table 48 – Broadcasting revenue – 2005 - 2012
Table 49 – Pay TV subscribers – 2008 - 2012
Table 50 – Pay TV market share by platform – 2009 - 2012
Table 51 – Digital TV subscribers by access method – 2009 - 2012
Table 52 – Digital TV market share by access method – 2008 - 2012
Table 53 – TEO IPTV subscribers – 2006 - 2013
Table 54 – Cable TV and MMDS subscribers – 1997 - 2012
Table 55 – Satellite TV revenue – 2011 - 2012
Table 56 – DTTV revenue – 2011 - 2012
Table 57 – TEO DTTV subscribers – 2008 - 2013
Table 58 – Proportion of population making online purchases – 2005 - 2013
Table 59 – Uptake of e-government services by businesses – 2004 - 2011
Table 60 – Uptake of e-government services by individuals – 2004 - 2011
Table 61 – Historical - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1998 - 2004
Table 62 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2005 - 2014
Table 63 – Proportion of mobile market revenue by service – 2009 - 2011
Table 64 – Revenue from roaming services – 2006 - 2012
Table 65 – Mobile market revenue, MNOs and resellers – 2006 - 2012
Table 66 – MVNO share of subscribers and revenue – 2003 - 2012
Table 67 – Proportion of mobile service revenue to total telecom sector revenue – 2006 - 2012
Table 68 – 3G subscriber market share per operator – 2009 - 2012
Table 69 – Number of 3G subscribers – 2007 - 2012
Table 70 – Market share per operator by revenue – 2009 - 2012
Table 71 – Market share per operator by subscribers – 2009 - 2012
Table 72 – Base stations in use – 2006 - 2011
Table 73 – Accumulative mobile number portings – 2004 - 2012
Table 74 – Omnitel subscribers – 2007 - 2013
Table 75 – Omnitel annualised ARPU – 2005 - 2013
Table 76 – Omnitel MOU and churn – 2005 - 2013
Table 77 – Omnitel financial data – 2005 - 2013
Table 78 – Bite mobile subscribers by type – 2007 - 2012
Table 79 – Bite annualised ARPU – 2007 - 2009
Table 80 – Bite Lithuania financial data – 2009 - 2013
Table 81 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2013
Table 82 – Tele2 mobile subscribers – 2007 - 2013
Table 83 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2002 - 2012
Table 84 – Prepaid subscribers – 2010 - 2012
Table 85 – Total SMS messages sent – 2004 - 2012
Table 86 – Total MMS messages sent – 2004 - 2012
Table 87 – Mobile data sent on 3G networks (quarterly comparison) – 2006 - 2012
Table 88 – Mobile data sent on 3G networks (by year) – 2006 - 2012
Table 89 – GPRS, EDGE and UMTS subscribers – 2004 - 2012
Table 90 – Mobile data subscriber market share per operator – 2009 - 2012
Table 91 – Mobile data revenue – 2010 - 2012
Table 92 – HSPA subscribers – 2007 - 2012
Table 93 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
Table 94 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – lower growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020
Chart 1 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2005 - 2012
Chart 2 – Telecom investment and annual growth – 2006 - 2012
Chart 3 – Internet access market share by access type – 2006 - 2012
Chart 4 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2001 - 2014
Chart 5 – Broadband data rates as proportion of subscribers – 2009 – 2012
Chart 6 – TEO fixed broadband subscribers, total and DSL – 2005 - 2013
Chart 7 – TEO FttX subscribers; annual growth – 2006 - 2013
Chart 8 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2012
Chart 9 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2005 - 2014
Chart 10 – Revenue from roaming services – 2006 - 2012
Chart 11 – Mobile market revenue, MNOs and resellers – 2006 - 2012
Chart 12 – Number of 3G subscribers – 2007 - 2012
Chart 13 – Omnitel annualised ARPU – 2005 - 2013
Chart 14 – Omnitel financial data – 2008 - 2013
Chart 15 – Bite financial data – 2009 - 2013
Chart 16 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2013
Chart 17 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2002 - 2012
Exhibit 1 – EU – The New Regulatory Framework (NRF)
Exhibit 2 – Access, the local loop and unbundling – an overview
Exhibit 3 – The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) annual E-readiness criteria
Exhibit 4 – 2G spectrum awarded

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