Lithuania - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

Date: December 3, 2014
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US$ 595.00
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Publisher: BuddeComm
Report type: Strategic Report
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ID: L83DB85250CEN
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Lithuania - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts
Fibre making up over half of all fixed-line broadband connectionsLithuania’s small telecoms market is among the more developed in Eastern Europe, with particularly vibrant fibre broadband and mobile sectors. A number of alternative operators offer services although the incumbent TEO, majority-owned by the regional powerhouse TeliaSonera, is still the dominant operator. The fixed-line telephony subscriber base continues to be in steady decline, though partly propped up by the migration of customers from the legacy PSTN network to VoIP.

The mature mobile market is served by TeliaSonera’s Omnitel, as well as Bité and Tele2 and a number of MVNOs. SIM card penetration is high for the region, and while the prepaid sector accounts for the majority of subscribers the proportion postpaid services is increasing. With dwindling new subscriber acquisition opportunities, operators are heavily marketing mobile broadband services, made possible from past investments in 3G and HSPA networks and current upgrades with LTE technology.

The broadband market is also well advanced, with a strong focus on fibre networks supported by effective regulatory measures to ensure competitor access to the incumbent operator’s networks. Fibre is by far the most popular fixed-broadband access platform, a testament to the country’s investment in telecom infrastructure in recent years. As a result of this progress, ISPs have shifted their focus to internet-based convergence services and bundled offers. Widespread internet usage has also resulted in a fast-emerging internet society, with a range of ICT services improving social and economic development, and with various e-commerce, e-government, e-education and e-health services increasingly available and used.

A burgeoning digital TV market is evident as a consequence of the transition to digital-only broadcasting. TEO is well positioned to develop the sector due to the company’s involvement in both IPTV and digital terrestrial TV.

Key developments:

Omnitel trials LTE-Advanced (LTE-A) technology; Bité to invest LTL45 million on network expansion, providing 90% 3G geographic coverage by the end of 2014; Omnitel offering voice and data LTE services for smartphone users; spectrum auctioned in the 2.6GHz band and 800MHz bands; Bité, Omnitel, Tele2 and TEO create JV to administer number portability database; regulator removes obligations on TEO relating to fixed access market; Skynet planning to cover 8,500 apartments in Vilnius with FttP by end-2015; government develops RAIN project extending fibre backbone to rural areas; TEO fibre networks reach 70% of the population, with 42% of all its broadband subscribers being on fibre; regulator’s market data to June 2014; telcos’ financial and operating data to Q3 2014; recent market developments.

Companies and subsidiaries mentioned in this report include:

Omnitel, Bité Lithuania, Tele2 Lithuania, TEO, CSC Telecom, Telekomunikaciju grupa, Cubio, Eurocom SIP, Nacionalinis telekomunikacij tinklas, Norby Telecom, Vinita, Balticum TV. 

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year
1. KEY STATISTICS

2. TELECOMMUNICATIONS MARKET

2.1 Overview of Lithuania’s telecom market

3. REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT

3.1 Background
  3.1.1 EU regulatory framework
  3.1.2 Revised NFR
3.2 Regulatory authority
  3.2.1 Communications Regulatory Authority (RRT)
3.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Lithuania
  3.3.1 Privatisation
  3.3.2 Interconnect
  3.3.3 Access
  3.3.4 Carrier selection and Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
  3.3.5 Number Portability (NP)

4. FIXED NETWORK OPERATORS

4.1 Market overview
4.2 Lietuvos Telekomas (TEO)

5. TELECOMMUNICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE

5.1 National telecom network
  5.1.1 TEO
  5.1.2 Alternative operators
5.2 International infrastructure
5.3 Wholesaling Overview

6. BROADBAND MARKET

6.1 Overview
  6.1.1 Fixed broadband statistics
6.2 Cable modems
6.3 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
6.4 Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) networks
  6.4.1 Infrastructure sharing
6.5 Wireless broadband
  6.5.1 Market overview
  6.5.2 WiFi
  6.5.3 WiMAX
  6.5.4 Mobile broadband

7. DIGITAL MEDIA/DIGITAL ECONOMY

7.1 Digital media
  7.1.1 Business models
  7.1.2 Overview of media convergence
  7.1.3 Overview of broadcasting market
  7.1.4 Digital TV
7.2 Digital Economy
  7.2.1 Lithuania’s emerging internet society
  7.2.2 E-government
  7.2.3 E-health

8. MOBILE COMMUNICATIONS

8.1 Overview of Lithuania’s mobile market
  8.1.1 Mobile statistics
8.2 Regulatory issues
  8.2.1 GSM licences
  8.2.2 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
  8.2.3 Third GSM licence awarded
  8.2.4 2.6GHz spectrum
  8.2.5 790-860MHz spectrum
  8.2.6 Significant Market Power (SMP)
  8.2.7 Mobile Termination Rates (MTR)
8.3 Mobile technologies
  8.3.1 Third Generation (3G)
8.4 Major mobile operators
  8.4.1 Overview of operators
  8.4.2 Omnitel
  8.4.3 Bité
  8.4.4 Tele2
8.5 Mobile voice services
  8.5.1 Prepaid cards
8.6 Mobile messaging
  8.6.1 Short Message Service (SMS)
  8.6.2 Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
8.7 Mobile data services
  8.7.1 Overview
  8.7.2 General Packet Radio Services (GPRS)
  8.7.3 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
  8.7.4 High-speed Packet Access (HSPA)
  8.7.5 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
8.8 Mobile content and applications
  8.8.1 Portals
  8.8.2 Machine-to-Machine (M2M)
  8.8.3 Mobile TV

9. FORECASTS

9.1 Broadband subscribers – 2010 - 2013; 2020
  9.1.1 Scenario 1 – higher broadband subscriber growth
  9.1.2 Scenario 2 – lower broadband subscriber growth

LIST OF EXHIBITS

Exhibit 1 – EU – The New Regulatory Framework (NRF)
Exhibit 2 – Access, the local loop and unbundling – an overview
Exhibit 3 – The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) annual E-readiness criteria
Exhibit 4 – 2G spectrum awarded
Exhibit 5 – 4G spectrum awarded – 800MHz band
LIST OF TABLES

Table 1 – Country statistics Lithuania – 2014 (e)
Table 2 – Telecom revenue and investment statistics – 2014 (H1)
Table 3 – Telephone network statistics – 2014 (Jun)
Table 4 – Internet user statistics – 2014 (e)
Table 5 – Fixed broadband statistics – 2014 (Jun)
Table 6 – Mobile statistics – 2014 (Jun)
Table 7 – National telecommunications authority
Table 8 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2006 - 2014
Table 9 – Telecom investment annual growth – 2006 - 2014
Table 10 – Telecom revenue market share by operator – 2010 - 2013
Table 11 – Telecom revenue market share by sector – 2011 - 2014
Table 12 – Call termination charges – 2010 - 2012
Table 13 – CS and CPS lines – 2008 - 2014
Table 14 – Fixed numbers ported – 2004 – 2011; 2014
Table 15 – Market share of fixed-lines and revenue, alternative operators – 2003 - 2014
Table 16 – Fixed-lines by operator – 2006 - 2014
Table 17 – Fixed-telephony retail and wholesale revenue – 2010 - 2014
Table 18 – TEO group financial data – 2006 - 2014
Table 19 – TEO group financial data – 2006 - 2014
Table 20 – TEO Group revenue – 2009 - 2013
Table 21 – TEO Group revenue by sector – 2009 - 2014
Table 22 – TEO Group subscribers by sector – 2009 - 2014
Table 23 – Historical - Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1995 - 2004
Table 24 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2005 - 2015
Table 25 – TEO – fixed-line subscribers – 2005 - 2014
Table 26 – Total international internet bandwidth – 2000 - 2014
Table 27 – Dark fibre lines – 2008 - 2014
Table 28 – Historic - Internet users and penetration rates – 1999 - 2004
Table 29 – Internet users and penetration rates – 2005 - 2014
Table 30 – Proportion of fixed-line broadband connections by access type – 2009 - 2014
Table 31 – ISP market share by subscribers – 2009 - 2014
Table 32 – Internet services market revenue – 2006 - 2015
Table 33 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2006 - 2014
Table 34 – Internet access market share by access type – 2006 - 2014
Table 35 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2001 - 2015
Table 36 – Total internet subscribers – 2006 - 2015
Table 37 – Internet ARPU – 2006 - 2014
Table 38 – Broadband data rates as proportion of subscribers – 2009 - 2014
Table 39 – Cable broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2014
Table 40 – TEO fixed broadband subscribers – 2005 - 2014
Table 41 – ADSL subscribers – 2006 - 2014
Table 42 – FttP/FttB subscribers – 2008 - 2014
Table 43 – TEO FttX subscribers – 2006 - 2014
Table 44 – TEO WiFi subscribers – 2007 - 2013
Table 45 – WiFi subscribers – 2011 - 2014
Table 46 – WiFi hotspots – 2012 - 2014
Table 47 – WiMAX subscribers – 2011 - 2014
Table 48 – Mobile broadband share of subscribers by operators – 2013 - 2014
Table 49 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2014
Table 50 – Subscribers to bundled services, by offer – 2008 - 2014
Table 51 – Subscribers to bundled services – 2010 - 2014
Table 52 – Broadcasting revenue – 2005 - 2014
Table 53 – Pay TV subscribers – 2008 - 2014
Table 54 – Pay TV market share by platform – 2009 - 2014
Table 55 – Digital TV subscribers by access method – 2009 - 2014
Table 56 – Digital TV market share by access method – 2008 - 2014
Table 57 – TEO IPTV subscribers – 2006 - 2013
Table 58 – Historic - Cable TV and MMDS subscribers – 1997 - 2004
Table 59 – Cable TV and MMDS subscribers – 2005 - 2014
Table 60 – DTTV revenue – 2011 - 2013
Table 61 – TEO DTTV subscribers – 2008 - 2014
Table 62 – Proportion of population making online purchases – 2005 - 2013
Table 63 – Uptake of e-government services by businesses – 2004 - 2011
Table 64 – Uptake of e-government services by individuals – 2004 - 2011
Table 65 – Historical - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 1998 - 2004
Table 66 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2005 - 2015
Table 67 – Proportion of mobile market revenue by service – 2010 – 2014
Table 68 – Revenue from roaming services – 2006 - 2014
Table 69 – Mobile market revenue, MNOs and resellers – 2006 - 2014
Table 70 – MVNO share of subscribers and revenue – 2003 - 2014
Table 71 – Proportion of mobile service revenue to total telecom sector revenue – 2006 - 2014
Table 72 – 3G/4G subscriber market share per operator – 2009 - 2014
Table 73 – Number of 3G/4G subscribers – 2007 - 2014
Table 74 – Market share per operator by revenue – 2009 - 2014
Table 75 – Market share per operator by subscribers – 2009 - 2014
Table 76 – Base stations in use – 2006 – 2014
Table 77 – Mobile ARPU – 1998 - 2015
Table 78 – Accumulative mobile number portings – 2004 - 2014
Table 79 – Omnitel subscribers – 2007 - 2014
Table 80 – Omnitel annualised ARPU – 2005 - 2014
Table 81 – Omnitel MOU and churn – 2005 - 2014
Table 82 – Omnitel financial data – 2005 - 2014
Table 83 – Omnitel mobile services revenue – 2012 - 2014
Table 84 – Bité mobile subscribers by type – 2007 - 2014
Table 85 – Bité annualised ARPU – 2007 – 2009; 2014
Table 86 – Bité Lithuania financial data – 2009 - 2014
Table 87 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2014
Table 88 – Tele2 mobile subscribers – 2007 - 2014
Table 89 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2002 - 2014
Table 90 – Prepaid subscribers – 2010 - 2014
Table 91 – Total SMS messages sent – 2004 - 2014
Table 92 – Total MMS messages sent – 2004 - 2014
Table 93 – Mobile data sent on 3G networks (quarterly comparison) – 2006 - 2014
Table 94 – Mobile data subscriber market share per operator – 2009 - 2014
Table 95 – Mobile data revenue – 2010 - 2012
Table 96 – HSPA subscribers – 2007 - 2012
Table 97 – M2M connections – 2012 - 2014
Table 98 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – higher growth scenario – 2013; 2015; 2020
Table 99 – Forecast fixed broadband subscribers – lower growth scenario – 2010 - 2013; 2020

LIST OF CHARTS

Chart 1 – Telecom revenue by key services – 2005 - 2014
Chart 2 – Telecom investment and annual growth – 2006 - 2014
Chart 3 – Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2005 – 2015
Chart 4 – Internet access market share by access type – 2006 - 2014
Chart 5 – Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2005 - 2015
Chart 6 – Broadband data rates as proportion of subscribers – 2009 – 2014
Chart 7 – TEO fixed broadband subscribers, total and DSL – 2005 - 2014
Chart 8 – TEO FttX subscribers; annual growth – 2006 - 2014
Chart 9 – Mobile broadband subscribers and penetration rate – 2006 - 2014
Chart 10 – Mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2005 - 2015
Chart 11 – Revenue from roaming services – 2006 - 2014
Chart 12 – Mobile market revenue, MNOs and resellers – 2006 - 2014
Chart 13 – Number of 3G/4G subscribers – 2007 - 2014
Chart 14 – Omnitel annualised ARPU – 2005 - 2014
Chart 15 – Omnitel financial data – 2008 - 2014
Chart 16 – Bité financial data – 2009 - 2014
Chart 17 – Tele2 mobile financial data – 2008 - 2014
Chart 18 – Ratio of prepaid to postpaid subscribers – 2002 - 2014

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