The Bruneian Defense Industry - Market Opportunities and Entry Strategies Analyses and Forecasts to 2015

Synopsis

• Top level overview of the Bruneian defense industry
• A breakdown of the Bruneian defense industry by spend pattern valued from 2006 through 2010 and forecasted from 2011 through 2015
• A breakdown of the markets by segment valued from 2006 through 2010 and forecasted from 2011 through 2015
• Details of top companies active across the Bruneian defense industry
• Emerging trends and opportunities in the Bruneian defense industry in the last 12 months

Summary

This report offers insights into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign OEMs (original equipment manufacturers) to gain a market share in the Bruneian defense industry. In particular, it offers in-depth analysis of the following:

Market opportunity and attractiveness: detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations during 2011–2015, including highlights of the key growth stimulators. It also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.

Procurement dynamics: trend analysis of imports and exports, together with its implications and impact on the Bruneian defense industry.

Industry structure: five forces analysis to identify various power centers in the industry and how these are likely to develop in the future.

Market entry strategy: analysis of possible ways to enter the market, together with detailed descriptions of how existing players have entered the market, including key contracts, alliances, and strategic initiatives.

Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of competitive landscape of the defense industry in Brunei. It provides an overview of key defense companies (both domestic and foreign), together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

Business environment and country risk: a range of drivers at country level, assessing business environment and country risk. It covers historical and forecast values for a range of indicators, evaluating business confidence, economic performance, infrastructure quality and availability, labor force, demographics, and political and social risk.

Scope

• Analysis of Defense industry market size from 2006 through 2010 and forecasts till 2015
• Analysis of defense budget allocation
• Benchmarking with key global markets
• Market opportunities
• Defense procurement dynamics
• Industry dynamics
• Market entry strategy
• Competitive landscape and strategic insights
• Business environment and country risk

Reasons To Buy

• Gain insight into the Bruneian defense industry with current, historic and forecast market values
• Get insight on market opportunity and attractiveness
• Get insight on industry procurement dynamics
• Gain insight on industry structure
• Gain insight into the regulations governing the Bruneian defense industry and the potential market entry strategies with an expert analysis of the competitive structure
• Identify top companies of the Bruneian defense industry along with profiles of all those companies

Contents

1 INTRODUCTION

1.1 About this Report
1.2 Definitions
1.3 Methodology
  1.3.1 Secondary research
  1.3.2 Primary research
  1.3.3 Conventions
1.4 ICD Research Terrorism Index
1.5 About ICD Research
1.6 About Strategic Defence Intelligence (www.strategicdefenceintelligence.com)

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 MARKET ATTRACTIVENESS AND EMERGING OPPORTUNITIES

3.1 Defense Market Size and Forecast
  3.1.1 Brunei’s defense expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of 6.56% during the forecast period
  3.1.2 Modernization initiatives, international terrorism and border disputes are expected to drive defense spending
  3.1.3 Military spending as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2 Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
  3.2.1 The share of capital expenditure in the overall defense budget is expected to increase during the forecast period
  3.2.2 Capital expenditure budget expected to grow during the forecast period
  3.2.3 Government to spend US$1.5 billion on revenue expenditure during the forecast period
3.3 Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
  3.3.1 Homeland security (HLS) expenditure expected to grow moderately during 2011-15
  3.3.2 HLS expenditure to be driven by the country’s efforts to counter human trafficking, cyber threats, money laundering and terrorism financing
  3.3.3 Brunei faces a moderate level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.4 Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
  3.4.1 Brunei’s defense expenditure is expected to remain low during the forecast period
  3.4.2 Brunei’s defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP higher than some of the leading defense spenders
  3.4.3 Brunei has a high per capita defense expenditure
  3.4.4 Brunei faces a low level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5 Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
  3.5.1 Demand for naval defense equipment expected to increase
  3.5.2 Modernization of the air force will create demand for combat aircraft, transport aircraft, helicopters and UAVs
  3.5.3 Demand for equipment to enhance land force capabilities is expected to increase
  3.5.4 Rise in business opportunities for the services sector

4 DEFENSE PROCUREMENT MARKET DYNAMICS

4.1 Import Market Dynamics
  4.1.1 Defense imports expected to increase during the forecast period
  4.1.2 Germany dominated Brunei’s defense imports during 2010
  4.1.3 Brunei’s defense imports during 2009 and 2010 were restricted to ships and missiles
4.2 Export Market Dynamics
  4.2.1 Brunei does not export military equipment due to a lack of domestic manufacturing capacity

5 INDUSTRY DYNAMICS

5.1 Five Forces Analysis
  5.1.1 Bargaining power of supplier: low
  5.1.2 Bargaining power of buyer: medium
  5.1.3 Barrier to entry: high
  5.1.4 Intensity of rivalry: low to medium
  5.1.5 Threat of substitution: low

6 MARKET ENTRY STRATEGY

6.1 Market Regulation
  6.1.1 Brunei has not disclosed any offset obligations imposed by the country
  6.1.2 FDI in the defense sector is controlled entirely by the government
6.2 Market Entry Route
  6.2.1 The biennial defense exhibition provides an attractive entry route
  6.2.2 Historical evidence points to direct commercial sales being the preferred entry route
6.3 Key Challenges
  6.3.1 A relatively small defense budget fails to attract investors and suppliers
  6.3.2 Lack of transparency in the bidding process makes foreign companies wary of investing

7 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE AND STRATEGIC INSIGHTS

7.1 Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2 Key Private Sector Companies
  7.2.1 Royal Brunei Technical Services: overview
  7.2.2 Royal Brunei Technical Services: services
  7.2.3 Royal Brunei Technical Services: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
  7.2.4 Royal Brunei Technical Services: alliances
  7.2.5 Royal Brunei Technical Services: recent contract wins
  7.2.6 Royal Brunei Technical Services: financial analysis

8 BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT AND COUNTRY RISK

8.1 Business Confidence
  8.1.1 FDI inflows by sector
8.2 Economic Performance
  8.2.1 GDP at constant prices (US dollars)
  8.2.2 GDP per capita at constant prices (US dollars)
  8.2.3 GDP at current prices (US dollars)
  8.2.4 GDP per capita at current prices (US dollars)
  8.2.5 GDP split by key sectors
  8.2.6 Agricultural net output at current prices (Brunei Dollar)
  8.2.7 Agricultural net output at current prices (US dollars)
  8.2.8 Agricultural net output at current prices as percentage of GDP
  8.2.9 Manufacturing net output at current prices (Brunei Dollar)
  8.2.10 Manufacturing net output at current prices (US dollar)
  8.2.11 Manufacturing net output at current prices as percentage of GDP
  8.2.12 Mining, manufacturing and utilities net output at current prices (Brunei Dollar)
  8.2.13 Mining, manufacturing and utilities at current prices (US dollars)
  8.2.14 Mining, manufacturing and utilities at current prices as percentage of GDP
  8.2.15 Construction net output at current prices (Brunei Dollar)
  8.2.16 Construction net output at current prices (US dollar)
  8.2.17 Construction net output current prices as a percentage of GDP
  8.2.18 Crude oil consumption
  8.2.19 Inflation rate
  8.2.20 Fiscal Balance as a percentage of GDP
  8.2.21 Exports as a percentage of GDP
  8.2.22 Imports as a percentage of GDP
  8.2.23 Fiscal balance as a percentage of GDP
  8.2.24 Annual average exchange rate US$–BND
  8.2.25 End of the period exchange rate US$–BND
8.3 Infrastructure Quality and Availability
  8.3.1 Total airports and sea ports
  8.3.2 Railways and roadways
  8.3.3 Automotive components export trend
  8.3.4 Automotive components import trend
  8.3.5 Passenger car penetration
  8.3.6 Total installed capacity for electricity generation
  8.3.7 Installed capacity for the generation of conventional thermal electricity
  8.3.8 Electricity production
  8.3.9 Electricity consumption
  8.3.10 Healthcare expenditure
  8.3.11 Healthcare expenditure per capita
  8.3.12 Total internet subscribers
  8.3.13 Broadband internet subscribers
  8.3.14 Personal computer penetration rate
  8.3.15 Mobile phone penetration rate
8.4 Labor Force
  8.4.1 Labor force
  8.4.2 Unemployment rate
8.5 Demographics
  8.5.1 Total Population
  8.5.2 Urban and rural population
  8.5.3 Female percentage of population
  8.5.4 Male percentage of population
  8.5.5 Mean age of population
  8.5.6 Median age of population
  8.5.7 Population density
  8.5.8 Age distribution of the total population
  8.5.9 Age distribution of the male population
  8.5.10 Age distribution of the female population
8.6 Political and Social Risk
  8.6.1 Political stability
  8.6.2 Terrorism index
  8.6.3 Transparency index

9 APPENDIX

9.1 Contact Us
9.2 About ICD Research
9.3 Disclaimer

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: ICD Research Intelligence Terrorism Index
Table 2: Royal Brunei Technical Services – Alliances

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Brunei’s Defense Market Size (US$ Billion), 2006–2015
Figure 2: Brunei’s Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2006–2015
Figure 3: Brunei Defense Budget Allocation for Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2006–2015
Figure 4: Brunei’s Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2006–2015
Figure 5: Brunei’s Defense Budget Allocation for Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2006–2015
Figure 6: ICD Research Terrorism Heat Map, 2010
Figure 7: ICD Research Defense Terrorism Index, 2010
Figure 8: Benchmarking with Key Global Markets - Historical vs. Expected Defense Budget Growth (%), 2006–2015
Figure 9: Defense Expenditure of Countries with the Largest Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010 and 2015
Figure 10: Defense Spending as a Percentage of GDP of Countries with the Largest Defense Expenditure (%), 2010
Figure 11: Per Capita Defense Expenditure of the Largest Military Spenders in the World (US$), 2010
Figure 12: Brunei Defense Imports Trend, 2006–2010
Figure 13: Brunei Defense Imports by Country (%), 2006–10
Figure 14: Brunei’s Defense Imports by Category (%), 2006–2010
Figure 15: Industry Dynamics Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Figure 16: Brunei’s FDI Inflows by Sector (US$ Million) 2004–2009
Figure 17: Brunei’s GDP at Constant Prices (US$ Billion), 2003–2015
Figure 18: Brunei’s GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2003–2015
Figure 19: Brunei’s GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2003–2015
Figure 20: Brunei’s GDP Per Capita at Current Prices (US$), 2003–2015
Figure 21: Brunei’s GDP Split by Key Sectors (%), 2003 and 2009
Figure 22: Brunei’s Agricultural Net Output at Current Prices (BND Billion), 2003–2015
Figure 23: Brunei’s Agricultural Net Output at Current Prices (US$ Million), 2003–2015
Figure 24: Brunei’s Agricultural Net Output at Current Prices as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2003–2015
Figure 25: Brunei’s Manufacturing Net Output at Current Prices (BND Billion), 2003–2015
Figure 26: Brunei’s Manufacturing Net Output at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2003–2015
Figure 27: Brunei’s Manufacturing Net Output at Current Prices as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2003–2015
Figure 28: Brunei’s Mining, Manufacturing and Utilities Net Output at Current Prices (BND Billion), 2003–2015
Figure 29: Brunei’s Mining, Manufacturing and Utilities Net Output at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2003–2015
Figure 30: Brunei’s Mining, Manufacturing and Utilities Net Output at Current Prices as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2003–2015
Figure 31: Brunei’s Construction Net Output at Current Prices (BND Million), 2003–2015
Figure 32: Brunei’s Construction Net Output at Current Prices (US$ Million), 2003–2015
Figure 33: Brunei’s Construction Output at Current Prices as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2003–2015
Figure 34: Brunei’s Petroleum Consumption (barrels per day), 2003–2015
Figure 35: Brunei’s Inflation Rate (%), 2003–2015
Figure 36: Brunei’s Fiscal Balance as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2003–2009
Figure 37: Brunei’s Exports as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2003–2015
Figure 38: Brunei’s Imports as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2003–2015
Figure 39: Brunei’s Fiscal Balance as a Percentage of GDP (%), 2003–2009
Figure 40: Brunei’s Annual Average Exchange Rate US$–BND, 2003–2009
Figure 41: Brunei’s End of the Period Exchange Rate US$–THB, 2003–2009
Figure 42: Brunei’s Airports and Sea Ports (Number of), 2009
Figure 43: Brunei’s Railways and Roadways (Kilometers), 2009
Figure 44: Brunei’s Automotive Components Exports (US$ Million), 2003–2015
Figure 45: Brunei’s Automotive Components Imports (US$ Million), 2003–2015
Figure 46: Brunei’s Passenger Car Penetration (per ‘000 people), 2003–2015
Figure 47: Brunei’s Total Installed Capacity for Electricity Generation (Million Kilowatts), 2003–2015
Figure 48: Brunei Installed Capacity for the Generation of Conventional Thermal Electricity (Million Kilowatts), 2003–2015
Figure 49: Brunei’s Electricity Production (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2003–2015
Figure 50: Brunei’s Electric Power Consumption (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2003–2015
Figure 51: Brunei’s Healthcare Expenditure (US$ million), 2003–2015
Figure 52: Brunei’s Per Capita Healthcare Expenditure (US$), 2003–2015
Figure 53: Brunei’s Internet Subscriptions (units), 2003–2015
Figure 54: Brunei’s Broadband Internet Subscriptions, 2003–2015
Figure 55: Brunei’s Personal Computer Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2003–2015
Figure 56: Brunei’s Mobile Phone Penetration (%), 2003–2015
Figure 57: Brunei’s Size of Labor Force in 15–59 Age Group (Thousand), 2003–2015
Figure 58: Brunei’s Unemployment Rate (%), 2003–2015
Figure 59: Brunei’s Population (%), 2003–2015
Figure 60: Brunei’s Urban and Rural Population (%), 2003–2015
Figure 61: Brunei’s Female Percentage of Population (%), 2003–2015
Figure 62: Brunei’s Male percentage of Population (%), 2003–2015
Figure 63: Brunei’s Mean Age of Population (Years), 2003–2015
Figure 64: Brunei’s Median Age of Population (Years), 2003–2015
Figure 65: Brunei’s Population Density (per Square Kilometer) 2003–2015
Figure 66: Brunei’s Population Distribution by Age (%), 2003–2015
Figure 67: Brunei’s Male Population Distribution by Age (%), 2003–2015
Figure 68: Brunei’s Female Population Distribution by Age (%), 2003–2015
Figure 69: Brunei’s Transparency Index, 2003–2009
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