Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI’s Australia Defence & Security report for Q213 examines the country’s strategic position in the Pacific region and the wider world. It provides an overview of the contemporary geopolitical challenges facing the country, and the issues it may face in the future.
The report examines the trends occurring in the country’s current and future defence procurement, and the order of battle across its armed forces. The report’s general conclusion is that the Australian defence establishment is in a state of flux as the future of some ambitious objectives set out in the 2009 Defence White Paper has been called into question by deep cuts to the defence budget. These have been enacted as part of a wider deficit-reduction programme set in train by the administration of Prime Minister Julia Gillard. The government had previously committed to increasing the defence budget by 3% annually; now, defence faces a 7% budget cut compared with 2011-12, and must save AUD5.5bn over five years.
BMI’s Australia Defence & Security report for Q213 examines the country’s strategic position in the Pacific region and the wider world. It provides an overview of the contemporary geopolitical challenges facing the country, and the issues it may face in the future.
The report examines the trends occurring in the country’s current and future defence procurement, and the order of battle across its armed forces. The report’s general conclusion is that the Australian defence establishment is in a state of flux as the future of some ambitious objectives set out in the 2009 Defence White Paper has been called into question by deep cuts to the defence budget. These have been enacted as part of a wider deficit-reduction programme set in train by the administration of Prime Minister Julia Gillard. The government had previously committed to increasing the defence budget by 3% annually; now, defence faces a 7% budget cut compared with 2011-12, and must save AUD5.5bn over five years.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Australia Security SWOT
Australia Defence Industry SWOT
Australia Political SWOT
Australia Economic SWOT
Australia Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
Global Political Outlook 2013
Table: Election Timetable
South East Asia Security Overview
The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
Main Islamist Militant Groups In South East Asia
Other Regional Threats
Sino-US Rivalry In South East Asia
The Outlook For South East Asia
Security Risk Analysis
Asia Pacific Risk Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Political Overview
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Three Key Challenges: Population, Climate Change, China
Australia Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
External Security Situation
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
Defence Budget
International Deployments
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Arms Trade Overview
Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Australia's Armed Forces, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Australia's Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Defence Expenditure
Table: Australia's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017
Table: Australia's Defence Expenditure Scenarios, 2010-2017 - Changing % Of GDP (US$mn)
Defence Trade
Table: Australia's Defence Exports, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Table: Australia's Defence Imports, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Table: Australia's Defence Trade Balance, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Macroeconomic Outlook
The Painful Undoing Of Built-Up Imbalances
Table: Australia - Economic Activity 2010 - 2016
Company Profiles
Austal
BAE Systems Australia
Boeing Australia
Raytheon Australia
Thales Australia
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
Sources
SWOT Analysis
Australia Security SWOT
Australia Defence Industry SWOT
Australia Political SWOT
Australia Economic SWOT
Australia Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
Global Political Outlook 2013
Table: Election Timetable
South East Asia Security Overview
The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
Main Islamist Militant Groups In South East Asia
Other Regional Threats
Sino-US Rivalry In South East Asia
The Outlook For South East Asia
Security Risk Analysis
Asia Pacific Risk Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Political Overview
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Three Key Challenges: Population, Climate Change, China
Australia Security Overview
Internal Security Situation
External Security Situation
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
Defence Budget
International Deployments
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Arms Trade Overview
Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Australia's Armed Forces, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Australia's Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Defence Expenditure
Table: Australia's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017
Table: Australia's Defence Expenditure Scenarios, 2010-2017 - Changing % Of GDP (US$mn)
Defence Trade
Table: Australia's Defence Exports, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Table: Australia's Defence Imports, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Table: Australia's Defence Trade Balance, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Macroeconomic Outlook
The Painful Undoing Of Built-Up Imbalances
Table: Australia - Economic Activity 2010 - 2016
Company Profiles
Austal
BAE Systems Australia
Boeing Australia
Raytheon Australia
Thales Australia
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
Sources
