Vietnam Freight Transport Report Q2 2014

Date: February 12, 2014
Pages: 89
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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In line with BMI's view that the Vietnamese economy would accelerate forcefully into the final months of the year (see 'Economy Picking Up Pace', October 4 2013), the latest data released by the General Statistics Office (GSO) showed that the economy expanded by 6.0% year-on-year (y-o-y) in Q4 2013. This translates into full-year growth of 5.4% for 2013, just slightly above our forecast of 5.3%. The latest GDP reading, combined with the strong set of economic data we have seen in recent weeks (accelerating foreign direct investment inflows, remittances, and merchandise trade exports), have reaffirmed our conviction that the Vietnamese economy will begin 2014 on a strong note.

In welcome news for Vietnam's freight industry, officials from firms such as Nike, Levi's and Zara attended a public briefing in November 2013 over the status of the trade discussions between Vietnam and the EU. One of the matters discussed was the fashion industry's push to mitigate the global 'rules of origin'. The rules of origin can result into a significant amount of money for the goods coming from Vietnam to the EU. According to the apparel manufacturers, the modern trade policy must not punish firms for manufacturing goods in more than one country.
BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Road Freight
  Table: Road Freight, 2011-2018
Inland Waterways
  Table: Inland Waterway Freight, 2011-2018
Rail Freight
  Table: Vietnam Transport Network Length (km)
  Table: Rail Freight, 2011-2018
Air Freight
  Table: Air Freight, 2011-2018
Maritime Freight
  Table: Maritime Freight, 2011-2018
  Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018
  Table: TOP IMPORT DESTINATIONS, 2005-2012, US$mn
  Table: TOP EXPORT DESTINATIONS, 2005-2012, US$mn
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Company Profile
Vietnam Airlines Cargo
Vietnam Petroleum Transport Company (VIPCO)
Vietnam National Shipping Lines (Vinalines)
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
  Table: Vietnam Political Overview
Long-Term Political Outlook
Oil Price Outlook
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
  Table: 2013 Oil Product Price Forecast Record
Crude Price Forecasts
  Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl)
Oil Product Price Forecasts
  Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecast, US$/bbl
Narrower US Market Crude-Product Spreads
Weak Demand Persists
Supply: Global Capacity Supports Demand
Quarterly Prices
  Table: BMI Refined Oil Products Quarterly Forecast, US$/bbl
Naphtha: Long-Term Growth Faces Headwinds From Gas
Gasoline And Gasoil/Diesel: Gasoline Weakness To Continue
Jet Fuel: Downward Movement Capped By Recovery
  Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volumes
Bunker Fuels: Sulphur Control To Hit Rotterdam Hardest
Risks To Outlook
Macroeconomic Forecasts
  Table: Vietnam - Economic Activity
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Vietnam's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Vietnam's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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