Iran Freight Transport Report Q1 2014

Date: December 4, 2013
Pages: 100
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI Industry View

Our outlook for the Iranian freight transport sector in 2014 is that the country will begin to see a return to growth in volumes, in part due to base effects, and in part due to the more moderate stance adopted by new President Rouhani, and the potential loosening of sanctions against the country. Although the ports and shipping continue to face significant challenges, rail freight continues to see strong investment.

Headline Industry Data
  • 2014 port of Bandar Abbas throughput is forecast to return to growth at 3.1%, and to average 6.0% to 2018.
  • 2013 road freight volumes forecast to grow by 4.6% and are projected to average 7.3% over the forecast period to 2018.
  • 2014 rail freight tonnes-km is forecast to grow by 1.9%, and is projected to average 2.9% growth per annum over the forecast period to 2018.
BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Rail Freight
  Table: Rail Freight, 2011-2018
Road Freight
  Table: Road Freight, 2011-2018
Air Freight
  Table: Air Freight, 2011-2018
  Table: Maritime Freight, 2011-2018
  Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018
  Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018
  Table: Iran's Main Import Partners (US$mn)
  Table: Iran's Main Export Partners (US$mn)
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Rail Freight
Air Freight
Maritime Freight
Company Profile
Iran Air Cargo
Islamic Republic Of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL)
Political Outlook
Industry News
  Table: Possible Scenarios & Potential Impacts As Diplomacy Advances
Scenario One: Gradual improvements But Immediate Breakthrough Unlikely
Scenario Two: Breakthrough
Scenario Three: Tactical Move By Tehran Leads To Breakdown
Long-Term Political Outlook
Challenges And Threats To Stability
  Table: Iran Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
Crude Price Forecasts
  Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl)
Variance Across Product Markets
Narrower US Market Crude-Product Spreads
Weak Demand Persists
Risks To Outlook
  Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts, US$/bbl
Supply: Supported By Global Refining Capacity
Naphtha: US Gas Hits Demand
Gasoline And Gasoil/Diesel: Subsidies & Fuel Efficiency Cap Upward Movement
Jet Fuel: Limited Upward Movement
  Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volumes
Bunker Fuels: Sulphur Control To Hit Rotterdam Hardest
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Iran - Economic Activity
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Iran's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Iran's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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