South Africa Defence and Security Report Q2 2014

Date: April 2, 2014
Pages: 91
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: SC520E6C491EN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI expects South Africa to spend US$3.5bn on defence in 2014. Next year, in 2015, we expect the defence budget to increase to US$4.5bn. This trend will continue into 2016 with the defence budget increasing US$5.4bn. The final two years of the forecast period we see South Africa's defence budget increasing firstly to US$6.1bn and then to US$6.7bn at the end of the period under examination. Parliamentary elections due to be held by May 2014 should be a gauge of the popularity of the government of President Jacob Zuma. Of particular threat to its popularity is the opposition Democratic Alliance (DA), which has selected a veteran campaigner against apartheid, Mamphela Ramphele, as its presidential candidate. The selection of Dr. Ramphele could split the black vote, which has been traditionally loyal to the ANC. While it is unlikely that the ANC will lose the elections, the DA could narrow the gap between itself and the incumbent party. The ANC has lost popularity after a number of recent corruption scandals. The ANC is also not helped by continuing high unemployment among the young and a sluggish economy.

Denel reported in February 2014 that it had successfully completed the first round of flight tests of the company's Seeker 400 Unmanned Aerial Vehicle. The company has said that it expects production of this aircraft to commence for customers by the end of 2014, to be procured by the South African Defence Force among others.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
South Africa Defence SWOT
South Africa Security SWOT
Political
Economic
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
  Table: Defence Expenditure
  Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Armed Forces
  Table: Armed Forces ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
  Table: Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2018 (aged 16-49 unless otherwise stated)
Defence Trade
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Real GDP Growth, % chg q-o-q, SAAR
  Table: South Africa - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
MENA Security Risk Ratings
  Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Ratings
  Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
South Africa Security Risk Ratings
Market Overview
South Africa Defence Market Overview
Armed Forces and Government Spending
Industry Trends and Developments
Weapons of Mass Destruction
Domestic Defence Industry
Exports
Imports
South Africa Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
  Table: US Combat Operations In Africa
International Threats
Company Profile
Aeromod
BAE Systems Land Systems South Africa
Denel
Saab Grintek Defence
Reutech
Thales South Africa
Regional Overview
Middle East and Africa Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
Global Political Outlook
  Table: Election Timetable, 2014
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Security Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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