Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
The deaths of 34 miners at the Marikana platinum mine northwest of Johannesburg in August 2012 during a protest over pay highlighted the risk to South African stability posed by such socio-economic issues as income inequality, not to mention the ability of the security services to deal proportionately with mass unrest. For the time being, the ruling African National Congress (ANC) appears capable of keeping a lid on these national tensions. However, this cannot be taken for granted in the long term.
Socio-economic priorities mean that the government is unlikely to deliver large funding increases to the South African National Defence Force (SANDF). However, alarming news reports in Q312 suggested that the SANDF may be on the verge of collapse if its funding shortfalls are not urgently addressed. The government has already revealed defence spending plans for the next three years which envisage some growth in the defence budget. However, these increases are not nearly enough, analysts are warning.
The deaths of 34 miners at the Marikana platinum mine northwest of Johannesburg in August 2012 during a protest over pay highlighted the risk to South African stability posed by such socio-economic issues as income inequality, not to mention the ability of the security services to deal proportionately with mass unrest. For the time being, the ruling African National Congress (ANC) appears capable of keeping a lid on these national tensions. However, this cannot be taken for granted in the long term.
Socio-economic priorities mean that the government is unlikely to deliver large funding increases to the South African National Defence Force (SANDF). However, alarming news reports in Q312 suggested that the SANDF may be on the verge of collapse if its funding shortfalls are not urgently addressed. The government has already revealed defence spending plans for the next three years which envisage some growth in the defence budget. However, these increases are not nearly enough, analysts are warning.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
South Africa Defence SWOT
South Africa Security SWOT
Business Environment
Economic
Political
Industry Forecast
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Manpower Available For Military Services (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP
Defence Trade
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: South Africa - Real GDP Growth
Table: South Africa - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Security Risk Analysis
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence & Security Ratings
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Market Overview
South Africa Market Overview
Arms Trade Overview
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Industry Trends and Developments
Industry Trends And Developments
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Table: South Africa Political Overview System of Government
Long-Term Political Outlook
Security Overview
External Security
Internal Security
Company Profile
Aeromod
BAE Systems Land Systems South Africa
Denel
Grintek Defence and Technologies
Reutech
Thales South Africa
Global Industry Overview
Global Political Outlook
Eurozone
Iran War Risks Rising In 2013
Syrian Conflict To Continue, Post-Assad
Caucasus At Risk Of Armenia-Azerbaijan War
Korean Peninsula Facing Mixed Outlook
Asia's Maritime Island Disputes
Table: Election Timetable, 2013
Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
Sources
SWOT
South Africa Defence SWOT
South Africa Security SWOT
Business Environment
Economic
Political
Industry Forecast
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Manpower Available For Military Services (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP
Defence Trade
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: South Africa - Real GDP Growth
Table: South Africa - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Security Risk Analysis
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence & Security Ratings
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Market Overview
South Africa Market Overview
Arms Trade Overview
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Industry Trends and Developments
Industry Trends And Developments
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Table: South Africa Political Overview System of Government
Long-Term Political Outlook
Security Overview
External Security
Internal Security
Company Profile
Aeromod
BAE Systems Land Systems South Africa
Denel
Grintek Defence and Technologies
Reutech
Thales South Africa
Global Industry Overview
Global Political Outlook
Eurozone
Iran War Risks Rising In 2013
Syrian Conflict To Continue, Post-Assad
Caucasus At Risk Of Armenia-Azerbaijan War
Korean Peninsula Facing Mixed Outlook
Asia's Maritime Island Disputes
Table: Election Timetable, 2013
Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
Sources
