Brazil Autos Report Q2 2014

Date: February 5, 2014
Pages: 69
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Total vehicle sales declined 1.1% in 2013, chiefly on the back of weakness in the country's passenger car market. Indeed, sales in this segment spiked in Q312 on the back of the introduction of government tax incentives, creating high base effects for 2013 and dragging down the year-to-date growth rate. Furthermore, the broader slowdown in consumer spending in Brazil impacted the passenger car segment, and we did not see a pick-up in the growth rate in Q4, despite lower base effects.

The majority of production in Brazil is for the domestic market. in 2013, output in the passenger car segment increased 5.9%, to 2,742,309 units. Production increased sharply in the first half of the year due to growth in the domestic market and strong increases in export volumes. Both these dynamics moderated in H2, however, and weighed on output volumes, broadly in line with BMI's expectations. We believed, however, that such moderation would be more muted, and previously forecast 7.5% growth in this segment. In 2014, we forecast passenger car production to increase 3.6%, a significant slowdown from the growth rates seen in recent years as the domestic market is likely to continue to drag on output growth. We expect exports to play an increasingly important role in output growth, but volumes are likely to remain relatively small, so they will not be the primary driver of production. Further, the y-o-y growth in the first half of 2014 is likely to be relatively modest due to strong base effects from H113.
BMI Industry View
SWOT Analysis
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
  Table: Brazil Autos Sales By Segment - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2010-2017
  Table: Brazil Autos Production By Segment - Historical Data And Forecasts
  Table: Brazil Autos Trade - Historical Data And Forecasts.
Passenger Cars
  Table: Brazil Passenger Car Segment - Historical Data And Forecasts.
Company News
Commercial Vehicles
  Table: Brazil Commercial Vehicle Segment - Historical Data And Forecasts
  Table: Brazil Commercial Vehicle Segment - Historical Data And Forecasts
  Table: Motorcycle Sales By Brand
  Table: Motorcycle Production By Brand.
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Brazil - Economic Activity.
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
  Table: BMI's Americas Risk/ Reward Ratings.
Company Profile
Company Monitor
Regional Overview
Global Industry Overview
  Table: Passenger Car Sales November 2013 (CBUs).
Europe On Road To Recovery
Tax Hike Skews Japan's Outlook; US Hits Sweet
China Is BRIC Bright Spot
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000).
  Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Brazil's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Brazil's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020.
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
  Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
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