The Aluminium Market Analysis, Financials and Forecasting 2013-2023

August 2013 | 145 pages | ID: A3697B916A1EN
Visiongain

Abstracts

The previous year has seen a continuation of volatility in aluminium market prices, with prices increasing from $1843 per tonne in August 2012, to a high of $2087 per tonne in December 2012, to current prices of $1842 per tonne. At current market prices, visiongain estimates that 33% of aluminium producers are operating at a loss. A few nations have seen government intervention to absorb losses by aluminium producers, or providing tax breaks or cheaper energy. This government intervention is resulting in a large quantity of over-supply of aluminium suppressing prices further. Excessive warehousing of aluminium is also a result of the over-supply, with an estimated 5.5 million tonnes stored. Visiongain determines that global aluminium consumption in 2013 was 46.1 million tonnes reaching a market value of $76bn.

However, the global aluminium market will exhibit growth over 2013-2023 and this will be driven by growth in the emerging markets. These emerging markets will be characterised by clear immaturity and strong economic growth and this will increase the quality and quantity of consumer purchases. The low energy costs will also see aluminium production shift towards the Middle East and North West China.

Why you should buy The Aluminium Market Analysis, Financials and Forecasting 2013-2023

• Stay ahead with this comprehensive analysis of the aluminium market prospects
  • The report comprises 145 pages
• Get ahead by studying highly quantitative content that delivers solid conclusions benefiting your research and analysis
  • 140 tables, charts, and graphs quantifying and forecasting the aluminium market
• Read exclusive expert opinion interviews from industry specialists informing the analysis
  • UC Rusal, the world's largest aluminium producer
  • Silver Ice Beverages, who have transitioned to aluminium packaging.
• View global aluminium market forecasts from 2013-2023 to keep your knowledge one step ahead of the competition
  • The report provides an analytical overview with detailed sales projections and analysis of the market, the competitors, and the commercial drivers and restraints.
  • Global aluminium consumption forecast 2013-2023
  • Global aluminium market value forecast 2013-2023
  • Global aluminium composite price forecast 2013-2023
• Keep informed about the potential for each of the aluminium submarkets with consumption forecasts from 2013-2023:
  • Transportation forecast 2013-2023
  • Construction forecast 2013-2023
  • Packaging forecast 2013-2023
  • Consumer Goods forecast 2013-2023
  • Electrical forecast 2013-2023
  • Machinery forecast 2013-2023
  • Other forecast 2013-2023
• Learn about the opportunities in 15 leading regions with aluminium consumption forecasts between 2013-2023:
  • China forecast 2013-2023
  • Other Asia forecast 2013-2023
  • Japan forecast 2013-2023
  • India forecast 2013-2023
  • North America forecast 2013-2023
  • US forecast 2013-2023
  • Canada forecast 2013-2023
  • Western Europe forecast 2013-2023
  • Germany forecast 2013-2023
  • Eastern Europe forecast 2013-2023
  • Russia forecast 2013-2023
  • Latin America forecast 2013-2023
  • Brazil forecast 2013-2023
  • Middle East forecast 2013-2023
  • Oceania forecast 2013-2023
• Find out about the market dynamics & opportunities in 15 leading countries
• Understand the competitive landscape with market share data and profiles of the 10 leading aluminium producers examining their positioning, products, services, focus, strategies and outlook.
  • Aluminium Company of America (Alcoa)
  • Aluminium Bahrain (Alba)
  • Aluminium Corporation of China (Chalco)
  • BHP Billiton
  • Dubai Aluminium Limited (Dubal)
  • Hindalco Industries Limited
  • National Aluminium Company (NALCO)
  • Norsk Hydro
  • Rio Tinto Alcan
  • UC Rusal
• Discover the qualitative analysis informing the aluminium market forecasts
  • SWOT analysis of competitive factors: strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats revealing what drives and restrains the industry and the prospects for established companies and new market entrants

What makes this report unique?

Visiongain consulted widely with industry experts and full transcripts from these exclusive interviews with UC Rusal and with Silver Ice Beverages are included in the report. As such, our reports have a unique blend of primary and secondary sources providing informed analysis. This methodology allows insight into the key drivers and restraints behind market dynamics and competitive developments, as well as identifying the technological issues. The report therefore presents an ideal balance of qualitative analysis combined with extensive quantitative data including global, submarket and regional markets forecasts from 2013-2023 - all identifying strategic business opportunities.

How The Aluminium Market Analysis, Financials and Forecasting 2013-2023 report can benefit you

Visiongain's report is for anyone requiring analysis of the aluminium industry and market. You will discover market forecasts, technological trends, predictions and expert opinion providing you with independent analysis derived from our extensive primary and secondary research. Only by purchasing this report will you receive this critical business intelligence revealing where revenue growth is likely and where the lucrative potential market prospects are.

If you buy our report today your knowledge will stay one step ahead of your competitors. Discover how our report could benefit your research, analyses and strategic decisions, saving you time. To gain an understanding of how to tap into the potential of this market and keep one step ahead of the competition you must order now our report The Aluminium Market Analysis, Financials and Forecasting 2013-2023

Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1.1 Global Market Overview
1.2 Benefits of this Report
1.3 Who is this Report for?
1.4 Methodology
1.5 Global Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
1.6 Aluminium End-Use Sector Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
1.7 Leading Regional Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023

2. INTRODUCTION TO THE ALUMINIUM MARKET

2.1 Aluminium Report Structure Overview
2.2 Recycling and Secondary Aluminium
2.3 Aluminium Production Processes
2.4 Aluminium Consumption by Sector
2.5 Properties of Aluminium
2.6 Assumptions and Explanations
2.7 Segmentation of Regions

3. GLOBAL ALUMINIUM MARKET FORECAST, 2013 - 2023

3.1 Geographical Forecast and Analysis of the Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
3.2 Global Aluminium Market Value Forecast, 2013 - 2023
3.3 Global Aluminium Market Drivers and Restraints

4. ALUMINIUM END-USE SECTORS FORECAST 2013 - 2023

4.1 Aluminium Consumption in the Transportation Sector, 2013 - 2023
  4.1.1 Analysis of Aluminium Consumption by the Transportation Sector
4.2 Aluminium Consumption in the Construction Sector, 2013 - 2023
  4.2.1 Analysis of Aluminium Consumption by the Construction Sector
4.3 Aluminium Consumption in the Packaging Sector, 2013 - 2023
  4.3.1 Analysis of Aluminium Consumption by the Packaging Sector
4.4 Aluminium Consumption in the Electrical Sector, 2013 - 2023
  4.4.1 Analysis of Aluminium Consumption by the Electrical Sector
4.5 Aluminium Consumption in the Consumer Goods Sector, 2013 - 2023

5. LEADING REGIONAL ALUMINIUM CONSUMPTION FORECAST, 2013 - 2023

  5.0.1 Breakdown of Regional Aluminium Consumption Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023
5.1 Chinese Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.1.0 Chinese Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints
  5.1.1 Discover how far China's Insatiable Demand for Aluminium will Grow Between 2013 -2023
  5.1.2 The Rise of Urban China
  5.1.3 China's Secondary Aluminium Production Market 2013 - 2023
5.2 Other Asian Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013-2023
  5.2.0 Other Asian Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints
  5.2.1 The Exciting Growth in Aluminium Consumption by Other-Asian Nations
  5.2.2 Japanese Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.2.3 Indian Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.2.4 Which Surprising Sector Accounts for 42% of India's Aluminium Consumption?
5.3 North American Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.3.0 North American Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints
  5.3.1 Discover the Mixed Fortunes of North America's Aluminium Markets
  5.3.2 US Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.3.3 Which Major Aluminium Consuming Sector Will Account for Only 6% of US Aluminium Consumption in 2023?
  5.3.4 Canadian Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
5.4 Western European Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.4.0 Western European Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints
  5.4.1 How Diversified is Western European Aluminium Consumption?
  5.4.2 German Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
5.5 Eastern European Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.5.0 Eastern European Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints
  5.5.1 Which Three Nations Dominate Eastern European Aluminium Consumption?
  5.5.2 Russian Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.5.3 Other Eastern European Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
5.6 Latin American Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.6.0 Latin American Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints
  5.6.1 Brazilian Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
5.7 Middle Eastern Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.7.0 Middle Eastern Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints
  5.7.1 Discover Why visiongain Predicts Rapid Aluminium Production Growth In the Middle East
5.8 Oceanian Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
  5.8.0 Oceanian Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints

6. SWOT ANALYSIS OF THE ALUMINIUM MARKET, 2013 - 2023

6.1 Strengths of the Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
  6.1.1 Attractive Combination of Properties
  6.1.2 Low Emissions
6.2 Weaknesses of the Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
  6.2.1 Volatile Prices
  6.2.2 Warehousing
6.3 Opportunities in the Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
  6.3.1 The Emergence of the Middle East
  6.3.2 Automobile Market Recovery
6.4 Threats to the Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
  6.4.1 Regional or Global Economic Slowdowns
  6.4.2 Aluminium Substitutes
  6.4.3 The Secondary Aluminium Market

7. EXPERT OPINION

7.1 UC Rusal
  7.1.1 Key Trends and Developments in the Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
  7.1.2 Opportunities and Challenges in the Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
  7.1.3 Green Energy and the Impact of 'The Shale Revolution'
  7.1.4 2013 Aluminium Market Review
  7.1.5 UC Rusal Demand Patterns
7.2 Silver Ice Beverages
  7.2.1 Advantages of Aluminium Packaging over Rival Materials
  7.2.2 Weight of Aluminium Used Per Product
  7.2.3 Aluminium Has Inelastic Demand
  7.2.4 Positive Outlook for Aluminium Packaging

8. LEADING COMPANIES IN THE ALUMINIUM MARKET

8.1 Aluminium Company of America (Alcoa)
8.2 Aluminium Bahrain (Alba)
8.3 Aluminium Corporation of China (Chalco)
8.4 BHP Billiton
8.5 Dubai Aluminium Limited (Dubal)
8.6 Hindalco Industries Limited
8.7 National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO)
8.8 Norsk Hydro
8.9 Rio Tinto Group
8.10 UC Rusal
8.11 Other Leading Companies in the Aluminium Market

9. CONCLUSION

9.1 Supply and Demand Balances in the Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
  9.1.1 Oversupply and Warehousing
  9.1.2 Chinese Demand Growth
  9.1.3 The Race to the Bottom and the Emergence of the Middle East
9.2 Aluminium Market Price Forecast, 2013 - 2023
9.3 Drivers and Restraints of the Global Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
9.4 Global Aluminium Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
9.5 Aluminium End-Use Consumption Forecast, 2013 - 2023
9.6 Leading Regional Aluminium Market Forecast, 2013 - 2023

10. GLOSSARY

List Of Tables

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1.5.1 Global Aluminium Market Consumption Forecast Summary 2013, 2018, 2023 (Million Tonnes, CAGR %)
Table 1.6.1 Aluminium End-Use Sector Consumption Forecasts Summary 2013, 2018 and 2023 (Million Tonnes, CAGR %)
Table 1.7.1 Leading Regional Aluminium Consumption Forecasts Summary 2013, 2018 and 2023 (Million Tonnes, CAGR %)
Table 3.1 Global Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013-2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 3.2 Global Aluminium Market Value Forecast 2013-2023 ($Billion, AGR %, CAGR%)
Table 3.3 Global Aluminium Market Drivers and Restraints
Table 4.1 Aluminium Consumption by End-Use Sector Forecasts 2013-2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %)
Table 4.1.1 Aluminium Consumption Forecast for the Transportation Sector 2013-2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 4.2.1 Aluminium Consumption Forecast for the Construction Sector 2013-2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 4.3.1 Aluminium Consumption Forecast for the Packaging Sector 2013-2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 4.4.1 Aluminium Consumption Forecast for the Electrical Sector 2013-2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 4.5.1 Aluminium Consumption Forecast for the Consumer Goods Sector 2013-2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.0.1 Leading Regional Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013-2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %)
Table 5.1.1 Chinese Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.1.2 Chinese Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints, 2013 - 2023
Table 5.2.1 Other Asian Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.2.2 Other Asian Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints, 2013 - 2023
Table 5.2.3 Japanese Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.2.4 Indian Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.2.5 Indian Aluminium Production 2012 (Company, Location, Annual Capacity ('000 Tonnes), Cumulative Total)
Table 5.3.1 North American Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.3.2 North American Consumption Drivers & Restraints, 2013 - 2023
Table 5.3.3 US Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.3.4 US Aluminium Production 2012 (Location, Annual Capacity ('000 Tonnes), Ownership)
Table 5.3.5 Canadian Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.4.1 Western European Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.4.2 Western European Aluminium Consumption Drivers and Restraints, 2013 -2023
Table 5.4.3 German Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.4.4 German Aluminium Production 2012 (Smelter Name, Location, Ownership, Annual Capacity ('000 Tonnes), Cumulative Total)
Table 5.5.1 Eastern European Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.5.2 Eastern European Aluminium Consumption Drivers and Restraints, 2013 -2023
Table 5.5.3 Eastern European Aluminium Consumption per Capita Comparison 2012 (KG per Capita)
Table 5.5.4 Russian Aluminium Production 2012 (Company, Location, Annual Capacity ('000 Tonnes), Cumulative Total)
Table 5.6.1 Latin American Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.6.2 Latin American Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints, 2013 - 2023
Table 5.6.3 Brazilian Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.6.4 Forecast of Brazilian against Other BRIC Members' Urban Population (% of Total Population), 1980, 2012 and 2023
Table 5.7.1 Middle Eastern Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.7.2 Middle Eastern Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints, 2013 - 2023
Table 5.7.3 Middle Eastern Aluminium Production and Consumption Forecast 2012 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %)
Table 5.7.4 Middle Eastern Aluminium Production 2012 (Smelter Name, Location, Ownership, Annual Capacity ('000 Tonnes), Cumulative Total)
Table 5.8.1 Oceanian Aluminium Consumption Forecast 2013 - 2023 (Million Tonnes, AGR %, CAGR %)
Table 5.8.2 Oceanian Aluminium Consumption Drivers & Restraints, 2013 - 2023
Table 6.1 SWOT Analysis of the Aluminium Market, 2013 - 2023
Table 8.1 Leading 10 Producers of Aluminium Market 2012 - Total Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Aluminium Output Rank, Market Share (% of Total Market Production)
Table 8.2 Aluminum Company of America (Alcoa) Overview - Aluminium Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.3 Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Overview - Aluminium Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.4 Aluminum Corporation of China (Chalco) Overview - Aluminium Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.5 BHP Billiton Overview - (Total Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.6 Dubai Aluminium Company Limited (Dubal) Overview - Aluminium Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.7 Hindalco Industries Limited Overview - (Total Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.8 National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) Overview - (Total Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.9 Norsk Hydro Overview - Aluminium Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.10 Rio Tinto Group Overview - Aluminium Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.11 UC Rusal Overview - Aluminium Revenue ($bn), Aluminium Output (Million Tonnes), Market Share (% of Total Market Production), Headquarters, Ticker, Contact, Website
Table 8.12 Other Leading Companies in the Aluminium Market 2013 (Company, Headquarters, Website)
Table 9.4.1 Global Aluminium Consumption Forecast Summary 2013, 2018 and 2023 (Million Tonnes, CAGR %)
Table 9.5.1 Global Aluminium End Use Consumption Forecasts Summary 2013, 2018 and 2023 (Million Tonnes, CAGR %)
Table 9.6.1 Leading Regional Consumption Forecasts Summary 2013, 2018 and 2023 (Million Tonnes, CAGR %)

About

UC RUSAL

Mr. Oleg Mukhamedshin is deputy CEO of UC RUSAL, the world’s largest producer of aluminium, which was established in March 2007 following the merger of assets of three companies: RUSAL, previously the third largest global aluminium company; SUAL, one of the world’s top ten players in the aluminium business; and the alumina assets of Glencore (Switzerland).

UC RUSAL's asset includes bauxite and nepheline ore mines, alumina refineries, aluminium smelters, cast house business for alloys production, aluminium foil mills and production of aluminium packaging materials as well as power-generating assets. The company’s operations are spread across 19 countries in 5 continents, with an employ base of around 72,000 people.

Visiongain thanks Mr. Oleg Mukhamedshin for lending his valuable time and sharing his opinion on the aluminium market.

Key Trends and Developments in the Aluminium Market, 2013 – 2023

Visiongain: What would you say are the key trends and developments for aluminium, and why? How will these occur over the next ten years?

Oleg Mukhamedshin: We expect aluminum demand to keep growing at a healthy pace over the next ten years. Emerging markets are expected to continue to drive major growth. Smelter production is anticipated to grow at a slower rate than aluminum consumption over the same period as lower aluminum price and industry restructuring will lead to slower new capacity growth and curtailments of unprofitable capacity. As a result, the aluminum demand is expected to outstrip supplies from 2015 onwards. Aluminum price is projected to be in a sustainable upward trend after 2015-2016.

Transport and construction will dominate aluminum consumption. As expected, aluminum will be more widely used in cars to save fuel costs and reduce CO2 emissions. Thus average content of aluminum in cars will rise from the current 140-150 kg to 180-200 kg per car over the next ten years. Large infrastructural projects in China, the Middle East, India and Brazil will continue to drive demand in construction.