Uzbekistan Oil and Gas Report Q3 2014

Date: June 4, 2014
Pages: 117
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: UD7C45F2272EN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Gas projects - both upstream and downstream - have more momentum than oil developments as we forecast for total liquids production to be barely supported by a rise in condensate output. However, consumption growth in both oil and gas will be curtailed for the following reasons: diversion of gas to external markets to meet its export obligations and a failure to meet its local refined products demand domestically and restrictions on fuel imports.

The main trends and developments in Uzbekistan's oil and gas sector are:

We forecast a very gradual decline in oil reserves, with 485.0mn barrels (bbl) forecast to remain by 2023, down from the EIA's estimate of 594.0mn bbl for 2013. The outlook is slightly better for gas. Some discoveries and exploration activity would keep gas reserves stagnant at about 1.8trn cubic metres (tcm) through to 2018, though Uzbekistan would need to speed up the rate of exploration and discovery should it wish to prevent a fall in gas reserves to about 1.7tcm by 2023.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Oil And Gas Reserves
  Table: Uzbekistan Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2012-2017
  Table: Uzbekistan Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2018-2023
Oil Supply And Demand
  Table: Uzbekistan Oil Production and Net Exports, 2012-2017
  Table: Uzbekistan Oil Production & Net Exports, 2018-2023
Refining And Oil Products Trade
  Table: Uzbekistan Refining - Production And Consumption, 2012-2017
  Table: Uzbekistan Refining - Production and Consumption, 2018-2023
Gas Supply And Demand
  Table: Uzbekistan Gas Production, Consumption & Net Exports, 2012-2017
  Table: Uzbekistan Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2018-2023
Revenues/Import Costs
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings
Caspian Retains Upstream Ratings Lead
Russia: Large Resource Base, But Growing Technical Challenges
Regional Minnows Breaking In
  Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Rating
Little Change In Downstream Rankings
  Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings
Uzbekistan - Risk/Reward Ratings
Uzbekistan Upstream Rating - Overview
Uzbekistan Upstream Rating - Rewards
Uzbekistan Upstream Rating - Risks
Uzbekistan Downstream Rating - Overview
Market Overview
Uzbekistan Energy Market Overview
Overview/State Role
Licensing/Regulation
Government Policy
Licensing Rounds
International Energy Relations
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
  Table: Refineries In Uzbekistan
Oil Shale Plant
Oil Pipelines
Gas Processing Plants
Gas Storage Facilities
Gas Pipelines
Gas Filling Stations
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
  Table: Key Domestic And Foreign Companies
  Table: Key Upstream Players
  Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Uzbekneftegaz
Lukoil
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Central And Eastern Europe Overview
Trade Dynamic To Persist But Growth Moves East
Weaning Off Russian Oil And Gas Proving Difficult
Azerbaijan Main Beneficiary Of Eastern Europe's Russian Fatigue
Moving From Pipeline To LNG
South Stream Looking Weak
Black (Sea) Gold Could Provide Relief
Shale Gas Showdown
Global Industry Overview
Global Energy Market Overview
OPEC Reconsiders Modus Operandi
Production Outages Look Likely To Persist
Global Oil Demand Picks Up
Capex Growth Cycle Shifting Gears
  Table: BMI Oil Price Forecasts, Annual Average, USD/bbl
Appendix
Central And Eastern Europe - Regional Appendix
  Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
  Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
  Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
  Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
  Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
  Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
  Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
  Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
  Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
  Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
  Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
  Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Uzbekistan - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-year Forecasts
  Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown, 2012-2017
  Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown, 2018-2023
  Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown, 2012-2017
  Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown, 2018-2023
  Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown, 2012-2017
  Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown, 2018-2023
Glossary
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
  Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: Weighting
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