Russia Power Report Q4 2013

Date: September 4, 2013
Pages: 78
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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BMI View: We maintain the view that Russia is unlikely to register significant growth in its power market over our forecast period. Instead, we continue to anticipate only moderate growth as macroeconomic headwinds and a shrinking population sap power demand, while structural risks such as the opaque business environment and weak institutional capacity continue to deter significant foreign investment in the sector. As such, with much of the country's aging capacity having been built in the 1960s and 1970s, we expect most of the investment that is channelled into the country's power sector to be aimed at modernising and substituting aging and inefficient thermal and nuclear capacity, and improving the country's inadequate transmission infrastructure.

While Russia's current 'Energy Strategy 2030' outlined plans for the expansion of the nuclear and nonhydropower renewable industries, delays to the construction of nuclear installations, and the absence of an appropriate policy and regulatory framework to stimulate demand and attract investors within the renewable industry, reinforce our belief that these targets will not be realised. Instead, BMI believes that Russia's heavy reliance on thermal energy sources, particularly gas, will continue into the next decade. According to our forecasts thermal generation currently dominates (and will continue to dominate) Russian power generation to the end of our forecast period. To this end, we expect gas generation to register an annual average growth rate of 2.25% between 2013 and 2022 and account for just under 50% of all generation to the end of our forecast period. Large indigenous reserves of coal will also continue be utilised in power generation (as well as for export) and will account for 18% of total generation by 2022.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Russia Snapshot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data
  Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Russia Power Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
  Table: Russia Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Russia Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
  Table: Russia Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Russia Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Russia Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Russia Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
  Table: Russia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Russia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
  Table: Russia Trade Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Russia Trade Long-Term Forecasts
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
CEE Power Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: Regional Snapshot
Russia Power Risk/Reward Ratings
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Russia Power Projects Database
  Table: Major Projects - Power
Competitive Landscape
Federal Grid Company (FGC)
Gazprom Energoholding
Company Profile
  Table: E.ON Disposal Proceeds And Dilution Overview, As Of March 13 2013
Inter RAO
Regional Overview
Central and Eastern Europe Regional Overview
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecasts
Power Industry - Data Methodology
Generation and Consumption Data
Electricity Generating Capacity Data
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
  Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators
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Russia Power Report Q2 2014 US$ 1,295.00 Mar, 2014 · 92 pages

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