Kenya Power Report Q1 2014

Date: November 20, 2013
Pages: 67
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: KD6DF794C0AEN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have revised our forecasts this quarter, taking into consideration domestic and international developments, downwardly revising our outlook for gas and upwardly revising that for oil. However, we maintain our view that Kenya's power sector suffers from a capacity deficit, with insufficient supply to meet consumer demand in peak demand periods. In addition, the country remains over-reliant on hydropower.

This, in turn, has exposed the country to widespread power outages, which are acting as a significant constraint to economic and social development. As such, the country has put forward some ambitious capacity expansion and diversification targets in its 'Vision 2030' programme, which aims to incorporate nuclear power, gas and coal-fired generation into the domestic power mix - sources that are currently not utilised within the country. Although this would help to secure its energy supply and reduce its dependence on unreliable hydropower and costly oil imports, we are sceptical as to whether this strategy can be realised, given the numerous barriers hindering the power, and wider energy and infrastructure sectors.

Inadequate electricity generating capacity, limited diversification and a consequently unreliable power supply have been perennial problems in Kenya for over a decade. The country has also experienced a divergence between planning and implementation, with repeated delays and cancellations preventing adequate refurbishment and expansion of its ageing capacity - ultimately leading to a significant shortfall.
The vast majority of Kenya's generating capacity is based on domestic hydropower, while geothermal and thermal power supply the rest of the country's requirements. Yet, this unreliable source has exposed the country to chronic power shortages, driving up costs.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Kenya Snapshot
  Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
  Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Kenya Power Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
  Table: Kenya Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Kenya Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
  Table: Kenya Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Kenya Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
Electricity Consumption
  Table: Kenya Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Kenya Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
  Table: Kenya Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Kenya Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
  Table: Kenya Trade Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016
  Table: Kenya Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: MENA Risk/Reward Ratings, Scores Out Of 100
  Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
Kenya Power Risk/Reward Rating
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
East Africa Power Projects Database
  Table: East Africa Major Projects - Power
Competitive Landscape
Regional Overview
MEA Regional Overview
Glossary
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk Reward Rating Methodology
  Table: Power Risk Reward Rating Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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Kenya Power Report Q1 2014
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