Mexico Agribusiness Report Q4 2014

Date: September 17, 2014
Pages: 112
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: MF58E596385EN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Overall, the long-term outlook for the Mexican agriculture sector looks less optimistic than previous years. Consumer demand growth is largely slowing, particularly in key areas like sugar and corn, where per capita consumption is already high. Competitiveness is also an issue, particularly in the grains and livestock sector. Although we forecast a rebound in production for key sectors like corn and meat, we have a largely subdued long-term production outlook for these sectors, as cheap US imports, lower prices, and distortions due to government intervention reduce production incentives. We see the strongest growth potential in the poultry and coffee sectors, as Mexico remains a key coffee exporter and poultry consumption looks to show the strongest growth. We expect improving growth in the country's sugar sector, as the government has recently implemented reforms, however, compared to large global exporters, Mexico's impact on the global market will remain relatively minimal.

Key Forecasts

Corn production growth to 2017/18: 11% to 24.5mn tonnes. We have revised down our production growth estimates for corn, as we believe the area dedicated to corn is unlikely to grow significantly in the coming years, and use of genetically modified seeds remains limited. The strong five-year growth figure is owing to base effects.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
  Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
  Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
Sugar Outlook
  Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
Dairy Outlook
  Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
  Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
  Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
Coffee Outlook
  Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
Livestock Outlook
  Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
  Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
  Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Mexico 2008-2013)
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Grains Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Monthly Softs Strategy
  Table: SELECT COMMODITIES - PERFORMANCE & BMI FORECASTS
Upstream Analysis
Americas Machinery Outlook
Americas GM Outlook
Americas Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Food Consumption
  Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2011-2018)
Confectionery
  Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2011-2018)
Prepared/Canned Food
Meat
  Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Mexico 2013-2018)
Fish
Oils And Fats
Pasta
  Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2013-2018)
Dairy
  Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2013-2018)
Baked Products
  Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2013-2018)
  Table: Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Mexico 2013-2018)
Drink
Hot Drinks
  Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
  Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2013-2018)
Alcoholic Drinks
  Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2013-2018)
Soft Drinks
  Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2013-2018)
Mass Grocery Retail
  Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2013-2018)
Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Mexico's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: Mexico's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Mexico's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Mexico's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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