China Agribusiness Report Q2 2014

Date: February 26, 2014
Pages: 218
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: China's weight in the global agricultural sector is growing, as the country has an increasing impact on international production balances and prices. China will maintain a strong appetite for key commodities, and we highlight in particular the growth potential for sugar, dairy and meat products. High demand growth, strong government support and potential for investment and consolidation in these industries will help them outperform in the coming years. However, the agribusiness sector is going through challenging times, with GDP slowing, consumer trust in food safety dwindling, food ingredient prices rising, labour costs soaring and bank loan requirements for small-sized enterprises tightening. This is best seen in the probe led by the government into foreign dairy companies' price-fixing schemes, which led to a record fine for top producers.

Key Forecasts

Corn production growth to 2017/18: 18.1% to 242.7mn tonnes. Output expansion will be driven by steady improvements in corn yields, the probable adoption of GM corn in the coming years and sustained public support.

Pork consumption growth to 2018: 21.6% to 65.4mn tonnes. Pork will remain the meat of choice for Chinese consumers and consumption will be driven by revenue growth. Demand is likely to remain resilient despite the slowdown in the economy.
BMI Industry View
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Sugar Outlook
  Table: China Sugar Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Sugar Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
Dairy Outlook
  Table: China Butter Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Cheese Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Milk Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Whole Milk Powder Production & Consumption, 2013-2018.
  Table: China Butter Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
  Table: China Cheese Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
  Table: China Milk Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
  Table: China Whole Milk Powder Production & Consumption, 2008-2013.
Soybean Outlook
  Table: China Soybean Production & Consumption, 2013-2018.
  Table: China Soybean Production & Consumption, 2008-2013.
Rice Outlook
  Table: China Rice Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Grain Procurement Prices (CNY/tonne)
  Table: China Rice Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
Grains Outlook
  Table: China Barley Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Corn Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Wheat Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Barley Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
  Table: China Corn Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
  Table: China Wheat Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
Livestock Outlook
  Table: China Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2013-2018.
  Table: China Pork Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Poultry Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2008-2013.
  Table: China Poultry Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
  Table: China Pork Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
Cotton Outlook
  Table: China Cotton Production & Consumption, 2013-2018
  Table: China Cotton Production & Consumption, 2008-2013
Imports Outlook
China Agricultural Imports Spree: Winners & Losers
  Table: Select Countries - Exposure To Agricultural Exports To China, 2012
  Table: China Future Agricultural Imports - Potential Winners And Losers.
China Future Imports: Enduring Trends & New Trajectories
  Table: China - Production & Consumption Forecast For Select Commodities (kt, Unless Otherwise Stated).
China Short Term Imports: Looming Headwinds
Featured Analysis
China's Commodity Futures On The Ascent
  Table: Global - Top Commodities Futures Contracts
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Grains Update
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
  Table: BMI Commodities Strategy.
Monthly Softs Update
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
  Table: BMI Commodities Strategy.
Upstream Analysis
Asia Machinery Outlook
  Table: China Grain Public Production Support Programme (CNYbn)
Asia GM Outlook
  Table: Philippines Corn Estimates
  Table: Select Countries - GM Crops Use In 2012.
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
  Table: Global Benchmark Fertiliser Prices (US$/tonne FOB, reported prices at the end of quarter).
Downstream Analysis
Food Consumption
  Table: Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2018.
Canned Food
  Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales, 2011-2018
Hot Drinks
  Table: Hot Drinks Value/Volume Sales, 2011-2018
Alcoholic Drinks
  Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
Soft Drinks
  Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales, 2011-2018
Mass Grocery Retail
  Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2011-2018
Regional Overview
  Table: Select Countries - Biofuel Blending Mandates & Programmes
Competitive Landscape
  Table: China - Major Agribusiness Companies
Company Profile
Golden Agri-Resources
  Table: Select Companies - Land Bank, Tree Age Profile & Performance, 2012*
  Table: Golden Agri-Resources - Financial Highlights
Charoen Pokphand Foods
  Table: Charoen Pokphand Foods' Financial Highlights, 2008-2012.
Demographic Forecast
  Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total).
  Table: China's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020.
  Table: China's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020.
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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