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Global LNG Capital Investment Analysis and Outlook to 2020 - Widening Industry Scope Offers Huge Investment and Business Opportunities

December 2013 | 144 pages | ID: G6D3FCECCDFEN
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LNGANALYSIS have published the 2014 series of “GLOBAL LNG CAPITAL INVESTMENTS AND INDUSTRY OUTLOOK TO 2020”. The report ensures that LNG companies do not fall behind in the race to invest in LNG and that their investments are diverted to right and prospective locations. The research work provides complete analysis and annual outlook of leading 26 liquefaction and 34 regasification markets worldwide. With annual forecasts of likely capital investments in LNG projects from 2012 to 2020, the report provides the key drivers and restraints of investment forecasts during the period. Further, all potential investment opportunities in the global LNG industry along with their complete details are provided in the report.

Further, amidst the rush towards the floating LNG projects, the report analyzes the actual potential of global FLNG liquefaction and regasification markets worldwide. Region wise forecasts of FLNG investments are provided from 2012 to 2020. In addition, the report provides information on planned LNG projects in 52 LNG markets worldwide.

Some of the key facts discussed in the report include:

Global LNG capital investment continues to increase year on year driven by new projects and robust rise in demand. Despite supply tightness in the market, most countries are planning new regasification plants to gain from the US and Australian supplies in long term. Driven by emerging markets, change in trade patterns, Baltic Sea investments, developments in Australian projects, contracts with US suppliers, we expect over $500 billion to be spent on LNG projects by 2020. Of this, 74% will be spent on liquefaction industry and the rest on Regasification industry.

The investments in LNG industry will be driven largely by Asia Pacific in the medium term and North America in the long term. Further, African countries are also planning strong investments to monetize their gas reserves. Europe on the other hand, is likely to witness low progress in the medium term but will be forced to increase its investments in LNG infrastructure over the long term period. South and Central America is also rapidly witnessing surge in LNG demand with increasing economies and shift towards the clean fuel.
  • Global LNG capital investment continues to increase year on year, summing up to around $500 Billion between 2014 and 2020
  • Over $75 Billion to be spent on FLNG Industry between 2012 and 2020
  • Asia Pacific continues to be the leading LNG investor in both liquefaction and regasification industry
  • Australia and United States are the preferred investment destinations across the world in the medium to long term
  • Strong GDP growth in China and India will ensure that these markets will remain profitable and promising for LNG suppliers across the globe.
  • Despite slow growth economy, European markets focusing investments in Floating LNG industry
  • The scope of South and Central America regasification industry continues to widen year, with over $12 billion to be invested
  • Most of the International oil and gas companies are focusing investments in East African countries, after recent success in exploration
1 TABLE OF CONTENTS

1.1 List of Tables
1.2 List of Figures

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.1 Around $500 Billion LNG Capital Investments Planned Globally Driven by 125 New Projects and 20 Expansions
  2.1.1 Global LNG Capex to Witness Steady Growth to 2020
2.2 Global LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Type, 2012-2020
2.3 Global LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Region, 2012-2020
  2.3.1 Global Liquefaction Capital Investment Outlook by Region, 2012-2020
  2.3.2 Global Regasification Capital Investment Outlook by Region, 2012-2020
  2.3.3 Asia Pacific and North America to Drive LNG Investments in Short to Medium Term Future
2.4 Growing Scope of Floating LNG Driving New Investments in FLNG Industry
  2.4.1 Global FLNG Capital Expenditure to Peak in 2017
  2.4.2 Cost Advantages and Quick Realization Periods Driving FLNG Industry Growth
  2.4.3 Twenty Five Countries Planning Construction of New Floating LNG Terminals by 2020
2.5 Asia Pacific Offers Maximum New Entry and Business Expansion Opportunities in Near to Medium Future
  2.5.1 Emergence of New Demand Centres in Asia Pacific Opens New Opportunities for LNG Traders Worldwide
2.6 Most Australian Companies Plan to Start Up Their Planned Projects by 2016
2.7 US Companies Plan 13 New Liquefaction Terminals
  2.7.1 Role of the US in Global LNG Supplies in 2020
2.8 Europe LNG Investments to Significantly Increase Beyond 2016
  2.8.1 Nuclear Phase out Decision and Growing Gas fired Power Plants to drive Europe Gas Demand in the Long Term
2.9 South and Central America LNG Capex to Significantly Increase by 2020
2.10 Tanzania, Mozambique, Kenya and Madagascar Plan Large Terminals Driven by the Recent Success in Exploration

3 GLOBAL LNG INFRASTRUCTURE OUTLOOK TO 2020

3.1 Global Liquefaction Capacity Forecast by Country, 2005 - 2020
3.2 Global Regasification Capacity Forecast by Country, 2005 - 2020
3.3 Global LNG Storage Capacity Forecast by Country, 2005 - 2020
3.4 Planned Projects Drive FLNG Investments to Over $75 Billion
  3.4.1 Global FLNG Capex to Peak in 2017
  3.4.2 Asia Pacific to Attract Largest Capital Investments Worldwide to 2020
3.5 Global LNG Supply and Demand Outlook, 2005 - 2020
  3.5.1 Global LNG Supply Outlook by Country, 2005 - 2020
  3.5.2 Global LNG Demand Outlook by Country, 2005 - 2020

4 GLOBAL FLNG CAPITAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK TO 2020

4.1 Global FLNG Capital Investment Outlook by Type, 2012 - 2020
4.2 Global FLNG Capital Investment Outlook by Region, 2012 - 2020
4.3 Terminal wise Capital Investment Details - Liquefaction
4.4 Terminal wise Capital Investment Details - Regasification

5 ASIA PACIFIC LNG CAPITAL INVESTMENT INDUSTRY OUTLOOK TO 2020

5.1 Asia Pacific LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Type, 2012-2020
5.2 Asia Pacific LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Country, 2012-2020
5.3 Australia LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.4 Brunei LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.5 Malaysia LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.6 Indonesia LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.7 Papua New Guinea LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.8 Japan LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.9 South Korea LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.10 China LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.11 India LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.12 Bangladesh LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.13 Pakistan LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
5.14 Vietnam LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020

6 EUROPE LNG CAPITAL INVESTMENT INDUSTRY OUTLOOK TO 2020

6.1 Europe LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Type, 2012-2020
6.2 Europe LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Country, 2012-2020
6.3 Russian Federation LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.4 Norway LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.5 Spain LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.6 United Kingdom LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.7 France LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.8 Italy LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.9 Croatia LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.10 Ukraine LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.11 Albania LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.12 Ireland LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.13 Estonia LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.14 Poland LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.15 Latvia LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.16 Germany LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.17 Finland LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
6.18 Lithuania LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020

7 MIDDLE EAST LNG CAPITAL INVESTMENT INDUSTRY OUTLOOK TO 2020

7.1 Middle East LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Type, 2012-2020
7.2 Middle East LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Country, 2012-2020
7.3 Qatar LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
7.4 Oman LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
7.5 Yemen LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
7.6 UAE LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
7.7 Iran LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
7.8 Iraq LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
7.9 Israel LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
7.10 Bahrain LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020

8 AFRICA LNG CAPITAL INVESTMENT INDUSTRY OUTLOOK TO 2020

8.1 Africa LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Type, 2012-2020
8.2 Africa LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Country, 2012-2020
8.3 Algeria LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
8.4 Nigeria LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
8.5 Egypt LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
8.6 Equatorial Guinea LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
8.7 Angola LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
8.8 Mozambique LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020

9 NORTH AMERICA LNG CAPITAL INVESTMENT INDUSTRY OUTLOOK TO 2020

9.1 North America LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Type, 2012-2020
9.2 North America LNG Capital Investment by Country, 2010-2016
9.3 United States LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
9.4 Canada LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
9.5 Mexico LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020

10 SOUTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA LNG CAPITAL INVESTMENT INDUSTRY OUTLOOK TO 2020

10.1 South and Central America LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Type, 2012-2020
10.2 South and Central America LNG Capital Investment Outlook by Country, 2012-2020
10.3 Trinidad and Tobago LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
10.4 Peru LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
10.5 Venezuela LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
10.6 Brazil LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
10.7 Argentina LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
10.8 Chile LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
10.9 Dominican Republic LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
10.10 Bahamas LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020
10.11 Uruguay LNG Capital Investment Outlook to 2020

11 INVESTMENT AND BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN GLOBAL LNG MARKETS

11.1 Asia Pacific - Planned LNG Infrastructure Details
  11.1.1 Australia - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.1.2 Bangladesh - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.1.3 China - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.1.4 Indonesia - Upcoming LNG Liquefaction Projects
  11.1.5 Indonesia - Upcoming LNG Regasification Projects
  11.1.6 India - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.1.7 Japan - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.1.8 Malaysia - Upcoming LNG Liquefaction Projects
  11.1.9 Malaysia - Upcoming LNG Regasification Projects
  11.1.10 Pakistan - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.1.11 Papua New Guinea - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.1.12 South Korea - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.1.13 Vietnam - Upcoming LNG Projects
11.2 Europe - Planned LNG Infrastructure Details
  11.2.1 Croatia - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.2 Estonia - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.3 Finland - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.4 France - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.5 Germany - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.6 Italy - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.7 Ireland - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.8 Latvia - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.9 Lithuania - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.10 Poland - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.11 Russian Federation - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.12 Spain - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.13 Sweden - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.14 Ukraine - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.2.15 United Kingdom - Upcoming LNG Projects
11.3 Middle East - Planned LNG Infrastructure Details
  11.3.1 Bahrain - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.3.2 Iran - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.3.3 Iraq - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.3.4 Israel - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.3.5 United Arab Emirates - Upcoming LNG Projects
11.4 Africa - Planned LNG Infrastructure Details
  11.4.1 Albania - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.4.2 Algeria - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.4.3 Benin - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.4.4 Nigeria - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.4.5 South Africa - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.4.6 Mozambique - Upcoming LNG Projects
11.5 North America - Planned LNG Infrastructure Details
  11.5.1 Canada - Upcoming LNG Liquefaction Projects
  11.5.2 Canada - Upcoming LNG Regasification Projects
  11.5.3 United States - Upcoming LNG Liquefaction Projects
  11.5.4 United States - Upcoming LNG Regasification Projects
  11.5.5 Mexico - Upcoming LNG Projects
11.6 South and Central America - Planned LNG Infrastructure Details
  11.6.1 Argentina - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.6.2 Bahamas - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.6.3 Brazil - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.6.4 Chile - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.6.5 Dominican Republic - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.6.6 Puerto Rico - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.6.7 Uruguay - Upcoming LNG Projects
  11.6.8 Venezuela - Upcoming LNG Projects

12 APPENDIX

12.1 About LNGAnalysis
12.2 LNG Abbreviations and Glossary
12.3 LNGAnalysis Research Methodology
12.4 Disclaimer

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Global Capital Expenditure Forecast by Type, Million USD, 2012 - 2020
Table 2: Global Liquefaction Capital Expenditure Forecast by Region, Million USD, 2012 - 2020
Table 3: Global Regasification Capital Expenditure Forecast by Region, Million USD, 2012 - 2020
Table 4: Global FLNG Industry Scope and FLNG Liquefaction and Regasification Capacity, 2005-2020
Table 5: The US Planned Liquefaction Terminals, 2014 - 2020
Table 6: Global Liquefaction Capacity Outlook by Country, mtpa, 2005 - 2020 (I)
Table 7: Global Liquefaction Capacity Outlook by Country, mtpa, 2005 - 2020 (II)
Table 8: Global Regasification Capacity Outlook by Region, Mtpa, 2005 - 2020 (I)
Table 9: Global Regasification Capacity Outlook by Region, mtpa, 2005 - 2020 (II)
Table 10: Global LNG Storage Capacity Outlook by Country, Thousand m3, 2005 - 2020 (I)
Table 11: Global LNG Storage Capacity Outlook by Country, Thousand m3, 2005 - 2020 (II)
Table 12: Global LNG Storage Capacity Outlook by Country, Thousand m3, 2005 - 2020 (III)
Table 13: Global LNG Supply Outlook by Country, mtpa, 2005 - 2020 (I)
Table 14: Global LNG Supply Outlook by Country, mtpa, 2005 - 2020 (II)
Table 15: Global LNG Demand Outlook by Country, mtpa, 2005 - 2020 (I)
Table 16: Global LNG Demand Outlook by Country, mtpa, 2005 - 2020 (II)
Table 17: Global FLNG Capital Investment Forecast by Type, 2012 - 2020
Table 18: Global FLNG Capital Investment Forecast by Region, 2012 - 2020
Table 19: Capex Details of Planned FLNG Export Terminals, $Million
Table 20: Capex Details of Planned FLNG Import Terminals, $Million
Table 21: Capex Details of Planned FLNG Import Terminals, $Million (Contd)
Table 22: Asia Pacific Capital Expenditure Forecast by Type, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 23: Asia Pacific Capital Expenditure Forecast by Country, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 24: Europe Capital Expenditure Forecast by Country, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 25: Europe Capital Expenditure Forecast by Country, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 26: Middle East Capital Expenditure Forecast by Type, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 27: Middle East Capital Expenditure Forecast by Country, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 28: Africa Capital Expenditure Forecast by Type, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 29: Africa Capital Expenditure Forecast by Country, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 30: North America Capital Expenditure Forecast by Type, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 31: North America Capital Expenditure Forecast by Country, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 32: South and Central America Capital Expenditure Forecast by Type, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 33: South and Central America Capital Expenditure Forecast by Country, USD Million, 2012 - 2020
Table 34: Australia Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 35: Bangladesh Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 36: China Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 37: Indonesia Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 38: Indonesia Planned LNG Regasification Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 39: India Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 40: Japan Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 41: Malaysia Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 42: Malaysia Planned LNG Project Regasification Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 43: Pakistan Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 44: Papua New Guinea Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 45: South Korea Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 46: Vietnam Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 47: Croatia Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 48: Estonia Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 49: Finland Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 50: France Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 51: Germany Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 52: Italy Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 53: Ireland Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 54: Latvia Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 55: Lithuania Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 57: Poland Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 58: Russian Federation Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 59: Spain Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 60: Sweden Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 61: Ukraine Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 62: United Kingdom Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 63: Bahrain Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 64: Iran Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 65: Iraq Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 66: Israel Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 67: United Arab Emirates Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 68: Albania Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 69: Algeria Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 70: Benin Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 71: Nigeria Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 72: South Africa Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 56: Mozambique Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 73: Canada Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 74: Canada Planned LNG Project Regasification Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 75: United States Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 76: United States Planned LNG Project Regasification Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 77: Mexico Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 78: Argentina Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 79: Bahamas Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 80: Brazil Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 81: Chile Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 82: Dominican Republic Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 83: Puerto Rico Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 84: Uruguay Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020
Table 85: Venezuela Planned LNG Project Details, 2014 - 2020

However, the LNG imports are expected to remain low during the near term future due to lower GDP growth rates and higher LNG prices. Accordingly, we expect the European LNG imports to decline to 43.2 million tonnes by 2014. Over the long term, economic recovery, availability of the US and Australian LNG supplies and emergence of new import markets will lead to higher LNG demand. Accordingly, we expect the European LNG imports to stand at 104.4 million tonnes in 2020.

Global LNG liquefaction capacity increased steadily between 2005 and 2012. From 178.6 mtpa in 2005, global liquefaction capacity increased to 285.9 mtpa in 2012 at an average annual growth rate of 6.4%. Further, between 2012 and 2020, the capacity is expected to increase from 285.9 mtpa to 721.8 mtpa at an AAGR of 11.2%. 



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