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Despite the current slow-down in the performance of the country’s key export partners, we expect Kazakhstan’s private consumption growth forecast of 3.5% in the course of 2012 to be fulfilled. Our forecast is underpinned by factors such as the increase in average wages, low unemployment (at 5.5% in February 2012), and the strong retail trade growth, which came in at 11.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) in real terms in the same month. The development of food and drinks values will be further boosted by the gradual expansion of the organised retail outside key urban areas.
Headline Industry Data (local currency, compound annual growth rate)
Despite the current slow-down in the performance of the country’s key export partners, we expect Kazakhstan’s private consumption growth forecast of 3.5% in the course of 2012 to be fulfilled. Our forecast is underpinned by factors such as the increase in average wages, low unemployment (at 5.5% in February 2012), and the strong retail trade growth, which came in at 11.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) in real terms in the same month. The development of food and drinks values will be further boosted by the gradual expansion of the organised retail outside key urban areas.
Headline Industry Data (local currency, compound annual growth rate)
- 2012 per capita food consumption: +9.3%; forecast to 2016: +10.7%
- 2012 alcoholic drink value sales: +14.8%; forecast to 2016: +13.8%
- 2012 soft drink value sales: +15.4%; forecast to 2016: +16.3% Key Industry Trends And Developments Kazakhstan Looking to Expand its Export Reach: In April 2012, the presidents of Indonesia and Kazakhstan met to discuss their countries’ cooperation in a variety of industrial fields, as reported by Kazinform. Both countries are experiencing rapid economic growth, and are looking to capitalise on the subsequent increase in commercial opportunities for exported products. Key areas slated for further discussions include agriculture (with Kazakhstan looking to export grain and grain-based products to Indonesia), food industry and energy, among a number of others.
BMI Industry View
SWOT Analysis
Kazakhstan Food Industry SWOT
Kazakhstan Drinks Industry SWOT
Kazakhstan Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Business Environment
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
Table: BMI’s Core Views
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Kazakhstan – Economic Activity
Industry Forecast Scenario
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
Canned Food
Confectionery
Processed Foods
Table: Processed Meat – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Table: Frozen Fish – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Table: Frozen fruit & vegetables
Table: Bread Products And Jams & Jellies – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Table: Pasta – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Dairy
Table: Dairy – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Mass Grocery Retail
Trade
Table: Trade Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts
Food
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Regional Expansion For Israeli Frutarom
Wheat Exports To Increase
Kazakhstan Looking to Expand Agricultural Partnerships
Kazakhstan Eyeing Commercial Potential of Licorice
Hardee’s To Open 12 Restaurants In Kazakhstan
Market Overview
Food Processing
Canned Food
Confectionery
Agriculture
Drink
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Beer Market Attracting Foreign Players
Growing Interest In Hot Drinks And Water
Consolidation To Strengthen Carlsberg’s Presence In The Beer Segment
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Expansion All Around
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players: Kazakhstan's Food Sector
Table: Key Players: Kazakhstan's Drink Sector
Table: Key Players In Kazakhstan's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Monitor
Food
Ardager Agricultural Financial Corporation
Konfety Karagandy (Karaganda Confectionery Company)
Drink
Efes Karaganda Brewery
Carlsberg
Coca-Cola Icecek
Mass Grocery Retail
Vester
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Rewards
Table: Risks
Weighting
Table: Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing
SWOT Analysis
Kazakhstan Food Industry SWOT
Kazakhstan Drinks Industry SWOT
Kazakhstan Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Business Environment
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
Table: BMI’s Core Views
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Kazakhstan – Economic Activity
Industry Forecast Scenario
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
Canned Food
Confectionery
Processed Foods
Table: Processed Meat – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Table: Frozen Fish – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Table: Frozen fruit & vegetables
Table: Bread Products And Jams & Jellies – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Table: Pasta – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Dairy
Table: Dairy – Production, Consumption & Trade – Historical Data & Forecast
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Mass Grocery Retail
Trade
Table: Trade Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts
Food
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Regional Expansion For Israeli Frutarom
Wheat Exports To Increase
Kazakhstan Looking to Expand Agricultural Partnerships
Kazakhstan Eyeing Commercial Potential of Licorice
Hardee’s To Open 12 Restaurants In Kazakhstan
Market Overview
Food Processing
Canned Food
Confectionery
Agriculture
Drink
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Beer Market Attracting Foreign Players
Growing Interest In Hot Drinks And Water
Consolidation To Strengthen Carlsberg’s Presence In The Beer Segment
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Expansion All Around
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players: Kazakhstan's Food Sector
Table: Key Players: Kazakhstan's Drink Sector
Table: Key Players In Kazakhstan's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Monitor
Food
Ardager Agricultural Financial Corporation
Konfety Karagandy (Karaganda Confectionery Company)
Drink
Efes Karaganda Brewery
Carlsberg
Coca-Cola Icecek
Mass Grocery Retail
Vester
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Rewards
Table: Risks
Weighting
Table: Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing