Singapore Commercial Banking Report Q4 2011
Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
Since Q108, we have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. We do this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the ‘Limits of potential returns’ includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the ‘Limits of potential returns’, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the ‘Risks to realisation of returns’ also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI’s assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60% respectively.
Further details on how we calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the ‘Limits of potential returns’ are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the ‘Limits of potential returns’, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country.
Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the ‘Risks to the realisation of returns’ category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it and Moody’s ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI’s longterm risk rating.
Since Q108, we have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. We do this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the ‘Limits of potential returns’ includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the ‘Limits of potential returns’, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the ‘Risks to realisation of returns’ also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI’s assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60% respectively.
Further details on how we calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the ‘Limits of potential returns’ are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the ‘Limits of potential returns’, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country.
Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the ‘Risks to the realisation of returns’ category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it and Moody’s ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI’s longterm risk rating.
Contents
Executive SummaryTable: Levels (SGDbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At June 2011
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2011-2015 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011
Table: Projected Levels (SGDbn)
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
SWOT Analysis
Singapore Commercial Banking SWOT
Singapore Political SWOT
Singapore Economic SWOT
Singapore Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Singapore’s Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Asia Banking Sector Outlook
Table: Banks’ Bond Portfolios
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2011
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits, 2009-2010 (US$bn)
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, 2010 (US$)
Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields, 2010-2011
Singapore Banking Sector Outlook
Economic Outlook
Table: Singapore Economic Activity, 2007-2015
Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In Singapore’s Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Licensed Commercial Banks In Singapore
Company Profiles
DBS Bank
Table: Key Statistics For DBS Bank, 2006-2008 (SGDmn)
Bangkok Bank
Table: Key Statistics For Bangkok Bank, 2006-2008 (THBmn)
Hong Leong Bank
Table: Key Statistics For Hong Leong Bank, 2007-2009 (MYRmn)
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (SGDmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
United Overseas Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (SGDmn, unless)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Maybank
Table: Key Statistics For Maybank, 2007-2009 (MYRmn)
Citibank Singapore
Bank of China
Table: Key Statistics For Bank of China, 2007-2008 (CNYmn)
Islamic Bank of Asia
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators Skip to top