Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.
Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.
Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.
The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.
Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.
Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.
The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.
BMI Industry View
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, June 2012
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2012-2017 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 62 Countries Reviewed In 2013
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2010-2017
SWOT
Commercial Banking
Political
Economic
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Credit Bubbles: Comparing China With The US
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Market Overview
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2011
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios, 2013
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)
Table: Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits, 2013
Economic Outlook
The Recovery Is On…
…But Major Headwinds Blow
2012 WAS ONLY A WARNING SHOT
Risks Are Weighted To The Downside
Table: China - Economic Activity
Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In China's Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Policy Banks And The 'Big Four' State-Owned Commercial Banks
Table: Joint-Stock Commercial Banks, City Commercial Banks And Rural Commercial Banks
Table: Locally Registered Foreign Banks
Company Profile
China Merchants Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Agricultural Development Bank of China
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Bank of China
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
China Construction Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Regional Overview
Asia Overview
Financial Market Reforms A Crucial Element In Attracting FDI
Playing Catch-Up
Regional Integration To Spur Expansion
Global Industry Overview
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Emerging Market Regional Outlooks
Demographic Forecast
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: China's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: China's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Methodology
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, June 2012
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2012-2017 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 62 Countries Reviewed In 2013
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2010-2017
SWOT
Commercial Banking
Political
Economic
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Credit Bubbles: Comparing China With The US
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Market Overview
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2011
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios, 2013
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)
Table: Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits, 2013
Economic Outlook
The Recovery Is On…
…But Major Headwinds Blow
2012 WAS ONLY A WARNING SHOT
Risks Are Weighted To The Downside
Table: China - Economic Activity
Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In China's Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Policy Banks And The 'Big Four' State-Owned Commercial Banks
Table: Joint-Stock Commercial Banks, City Commercial Banks And Rural Commercial Banks
Table: Locally Registered Foreign Banks
Company Profile
China Merchants Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Agricultural Development Bank of China
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Bank of China
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
China Construction Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Regional Overview
Asia Overview
Financial Market Reforms A Crucial Element In Attracting FDI
Playing Catch-Up
Regional Integration To Spur Expansion
Global Industry Overview
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Emerging Market Regional Outlooks
Demographic Forecast
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: China's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: China's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Methodology
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators